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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 02:53 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 00:05 Source

In January, Domain published the following chart showing how the proportion of income a median household needed to pay the median rent hit a record high 33% in Q3 2024. REA Group has released its Q4 Rental Affordability Report, which found that rental affordability is at its worst level on record, driven by surging rents

The post Aussie renters cannot catch a break appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 16:23 Source

  AUD/USD     EUR/USD     USD/JPY     GBP/USD     Gold     WTI     Brent     Australia 200     US S&P 500     UK 100     Japan 225  

The post Macro Afternoon: 10 March 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, March 10, 2025 - 15:48 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, March 10, 2025 - 15:01 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, March 10, 2025 - 14:58 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, March 10, 2025 - 13:25 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 13:00 Source

In the 2010 federal election, the incumbent Australian Labor Party, led by Prime Minister Julia Gillard, won a second term after forming a minority government with three independent MPs. A result similar to the 2010 federal election looks like the most likely outcome of the upcoming federal election. The latest Newspoll for The Australian shows

The post History repeating as hung parliament looms appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Labor greybeard, Bill Kelty, has delivered the government, especially Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers, a stinging slap across the face. Former trade union leader and economic trailblazer Kelty, whose work with the Hawke and Keating Labor governments helped usher in two decades of prosperity, described the reality of many Australians’ declining living standards as “political kryptonite”

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Renew Economy Monday, March 10, 2025 - 12:03 Source

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Renew Economy Monday, March 10, 2025 - 12:03 Source

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Wholesale electricity prices have been falling in recent days. However, they are still double year on year! Prices have been easing in the weak demand shoulder season as the gas cartel plays dead going into the election. However, ahead are still some very difficult problems with very severe outcomes. With futures up 25% year on

The post Gas cartel plays dead for election appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Monday, March 10, 2025 - 11:00 Source

 The physics department has recruited an astronomer who studies meteor fireballs.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Via Goldman, the headline numbers and deficit breakdown. The 2025 fiscal targets unveiled during the “Two Sessions” imply the total amount of government bond net issuance quota will increase to RMB11.9tn in 2025 from RMB9.0tn in 2024. According to the 2025 budget report proposal, the MOF expects fiscal revenue growth to slow, but fiscal expenditure

The post Chinese yawnulus moves on from steel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 09:30 Source

China is in the flush of one last steel export surge, up 6.7% year on year for Jan/Feb. Iron ore fell sharply on supply disruptions. The balance explains the small easing in port stocks of iron ore. It also helps explain tearaway CISA steel out mid-February. But, dead ahead are the tariffs and the export

The post Tariff front running boosts iron ore market appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Friday night saw the release of the latest US unemployment aka non-farm payroll figures and while they underperformed they came in as expected, giving a relief valve to Wall Street which managed a meagre rally to end the trading week still at a new low. European stocks pulled back but then managed more gains in

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 10, 2025 - 07:00 Source

Australia’s labour market appears to be tremendously healthy. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) monthly labour market survey, the economy added 173,000 (3.5%) jobs in the year to January. Australia’s official unemployment rate (4.1%) is also among the lowest in the advanced world, alongside the United States. On Friday, the ABS released its

The post Taxpayers fuel Aussie jobs boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Sunday, March 9, 2025 - 22:02 Source
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The Tally Room Sunday, March 9, 2025 - 21:14 Source

Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to wrap up the results of yesterday’s Western Australian state election, which was a third consecutive landslide victory for Labor.

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Club Troppo Sunday, March 9, 2025 - 17:42 Source

There was an ostensible “news” article on the ABC news site about Trump’s executive order (EO) titled “DEFENDING WOMEN FROM GENDER IDEOLOGY EXTREMISM AND RESTORING BIOLOGICAL TRUTH TO THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.” The capitalisation is not mine; it is in the executive order FFS! The Whitehouse is becoming an ALL_CAPS tweet factory.

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The Tally Room Sunday, March 9, 2025 - 15:45 Source

For this post I wanted to put together a bunch of my thoughts the day after the WA election. I will be recording a podcast this afternoon and I hope to get it out before the end of the day.

Firstly, let’s zoom out and look at the scale of the result.

Labor won 41 seats out of 59 at the 2017 election, alongside 18 Liberals and Nationals. The 2021 result saw Labor win 53 seats, to just six for the conservative parties.

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MacroBusiness Sunday, March 9, 2025 - 14:59 Source

Goldman on the EUR rocket. Based on our models, the Euro’s surge this week went far beyond its typical relationship with 1-year growth expectations (even if we allow for a more front-loaded shift than our economists expect) and, to a lesser degree, the currency also strengthened more than can be explained by higher Bund yields.

The post Australian dollar takes a European gap year appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Saturday, March 8, 2025 - 21:00 Source

6:57 – Bunbury is the kind of seat that would fall if the conservative parties were close to taking power, but the swing is falling a long way short. The first booth has a 17.7% swing away from Labor and 8.4% to the Liberals – the ABC thinks that’s a 2PP swing of 12.4%, which is far short of what they’d need to win.

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New Politics Saturday, March 8, 2025 - 08:00 Source

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MacroBusiness Saturday, March 8, 2025 - 00:05 Source

International Reading: Elon Musk says the Post Office and Amtrak should be privatized – Business Insider Trump lifting US sanctions on Russia — a ‘huge win’ for Putin, ‘chaos’ for global economy – Kyiv Independent GOP Lawmakers Unveil Bill To ‘End The Fed’ – Daily Caller ‘Doge’s actual impact is less than $10bn’ – FT

The post Weekend Reading and media appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 18:57 Source

      AUD/USD     EUR/USD     USD/JPY     GBP/USD     Gold     WTI   Brent     Australia 200     US S&P 500     UK 100     Japan 225                  

The post Macro Afternoon: 7 March 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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George Monbiot Friday, March 7, 2025 - 18:54 Source

Could Trump and Musk be seeking to end our time on Earth?

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 5th March 2025

In thinking about the war being waged against life on Earth by Donald Trump, Elon Musk and their minions, I keep bumping into a horrible suspicion. Could it be that this is not just about delivering the world to oligarchs and corporations – not just about wringing as much profit from living systems as they can? Could it be that they want to see the destruction of the habitable planet?

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Renew Economy Friday, March 7, 2025 - 14:05 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 14:00 Source

On Thursday, Statistics New Zealand released data on Building Work Put in Place, which showed that residential construction plunged by 4.9% in Q4 2024, to be 25% down from its previous peak in Q3 2022. The following chart from Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro also shows that the level of building was revised down in

The post New Zealand’s housing market crashes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 13:30 Source

From July 1, 2024, Victorian non-profit private schools with an income per student of more than $15,000 were liable to a 4.86% payroll tax. These schools would pay the Victorian government an estimated $101.8 million in 2025. An investigation by The Age revealed that the payroll tax charge resulted in an average annual tuition increase

The post Why are private schools charged payroll tax? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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