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Renew Economy Friday, March 7, 2025 - 13:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Wednesday’s Q4 national accounts showed that Australia’s economy finally emerged from its prolonged per capita recession, recording the first increase (+0.1%) in GDP per capita in 21 months. In its media release following the result, the Australian Industry Group (AIG) cautioned that the “improvement in GDP masks continuing private sector weakness”. “Today’s national accounts data

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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 11:30 Source

As it should. Bloomberg. While bleak quarterly results from Australian peers last month helped trim its valuation, Commonwealth Bank remains one of the most expensive bank shares globally. The stock trades at 25 times forward earnings, almost double JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s multiple. “The banks’ latest results were not good enough to meet lofty expectations

The post CBA bubble bursting? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Last week, I critiqued an interview with former immigration department bureaucrat turned influencer, Abul Rizvi, on Joseph Walker’s podcast. In the interview, Rizvi explicitly admitted that slowing population ageing comprised about “80%” of the motivation for massively increasing Australia’s intake of migrants in the early 2000s. Until spending about a week reading up on Aus

The post Migration boom delivers ageing timebomb appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The continuing decline in Australia’s productivity was one of the most important data points from the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) Q4 national accounts released this week. Labour productivity (GDP per hour worked) fell by 0.1%, which follows declines of 0.7% and 0.5% in the previous two quarters, respectively. This lowered Australia’s labour productivity to

The post Productivity collapses on Australia’s economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Thursday’s dwelling approvals data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggested that the nation’s housing shortage continues to worsen. In January, only 15,142 homes were approved for construction, nearly 25% below the Albanese government’s housing target, requiring 20,000 homes to be built monthly for five consecutive years. In the 12 months to January, 174,942

The post Australia’s housing shortage worsens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, March 7, 2025 - 09:58 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is still getting pummeled. EUR is taking the lift up. All things considered, AUD is still weak. Can’t catch EUR, catch dislocate DXY. Lead boots! Break, baby, break! Metals relation sluggish outside copper. Miners a bit of life. EM still meh. Junk turning a little threatening. Yields sticky. Stocks were hammered again. The EUR

The post Australian dollar rides EUR rocket to the moon! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, March 7, 2025 - 08:39 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, March 7, 2025 - 00:10 Source

Aside from oil, Australia has almost every natural resource the world requires. Australia has significant reserves of coal, gas, uranium, cobalt, nickel, copper, and lithium. Over the past two decades, Australia has reaped the greatest benefit from global commodity prices. The following chart from independent economist Tarric Brooker shows the extraordinary growth in Australian resources

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 19:38 Source

  AUD/USD     EUR/USD     USD/JPY     GBP/USD     Gold     WTI     Brent     Australia 200     US S&P 500     UK 100     Japan 225                

The post Macro Afternoon: 6 March 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 17:06 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 17:03 Source

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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 15:20 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 14:31 Source

Delta Electricity Vales Point coal fired power station - supplied 1 - optimised

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 14:12 Source

By Stephen Saunders At times, Canberra is another world. From its Press Gallery comes this Financial Review bedtime-story of “best performer” Jim Chalmers with his “disdain for” inequality. The 28 February AFR gushes for the “smartest person” in the room and his enthralling (who among average Australians even cares?) insider skirmishes with the Reserve Bank.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The most recidivist liar in the parliament is Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers. Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the Australian economy has turned a corner after the strongest GDP growth figures since the pandemic, but economists say any recovery will be shallow as long as productivity remains stuck at 2016 levels and business investment stays tepid. The

The post Chicken Chalmers crows about economic wreckage appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 13:30 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 13:01 Source
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The Tally Room Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 11:30 Source

There has been a common story all over Australian politics of the major parties losing ground.

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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 11:18 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 11:08 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The iron ore jaws remain wide. The news from the NPC is steel output cuts. The world’s largest steelmaker and consumer will “promote restructuring of the steel industry through output reduction”, according to an official report on Wednesday. “We will introduce policies and measures for resolving structural problems in key industries and end the phenomenon

The post Steel output cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The latest net permanent and long-term arrivals data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that 446,504 net migrants arrived in 2024, slightly less than the record 449,813 that arrived in 2023. While net arrivals declined since March 2024 compared to 2023, each month in 2024 was higher than in the corresponding month in

The post Australian population growth reaccelerates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The federal Labor Party announced its Powering Australia Plan in late 2021, promising to cut National Energy Market (NEM) wholesale power costs by $11 per MWh, from $62 to $51, by 2025. Labor bragged that its Powering Australia Plan will save Australians $275 on residential electricity bills in 2025 and $379 in 2030. According to

The post Energy costs to soar under renewables push appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The Market Ear on the dead cat. NASDAQ – “oversoldest” NASDAQ has not been this oversold since August last year. Note that RSI at these levels, with NASDAQ trading below the 200-day as it touches the big trend line, has only occurred twice before since the great bull started. Source: Refinitiv “Netted out” Gross leverage

The post The dead cat lands appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 08:49 Source

Tropical Cyclone Alfred is now forecast to hit Brisbane, the Gold Coast and the NSW Northern Rivers on Friday, with fears it is slowly strengthening into a category 3 system, unleashing winds greater than 150 km/h. The impacted regions are expected to experience major flooding, and up to 400 mm of rain is predicted. The

The post Insurance crisis beckons as Cyclone Alfred bears down appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 07:00 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, March 6, 2025 - 00:10 Source

Wednesday’s Q4 2024 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the economy finally emerged from its per capita recession. The economy has finally broken the record seven consecutive quarter streak of real per capita GDP declines with a 0.1% quarterly expansion (with eight out of the last 10 quarters recording

The post Australian households are entrenched in recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 5, 2025 - 21:02 Source
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