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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Q1 CPI release revealed that housing inflation is slowing rapidly, contributing to lower trimmed mean inflation. CPI rental inflation rose by 1.2% in Q1 but moderated to 5.5% growth annually. The annual rate of growth was down from the peak of 7.8% in Q1 2024. The following chart from

The post Housing a welcome drag on inflation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 1, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Australia’s productivity growth has averaged just 0.2% a year over the last decade. Labor’s first budget in 2022 included the assumption that productivity growth would average 1.2% over the long-term. The Coalition contends that annual GDP would be about $250 billion higher if productivity had grown at this pace, while annual tax revenue would have

The post Australia is trapped in a productivity death spiral appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 16:59 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Some interesting local and Chinese reports were absorbed by markets in Asia today, with all eyes really on Friday’s US non farm payroll print and of course, any more waffles coming from the Oval Office about “deals” around Trump’s tariffs. The latest Chinese manufacturing PMI prints weren’t grim as expected but still so a sharp

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 15:06 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 15:02 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:56 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:54 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 14:50 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Elderly parent visas are Australia’s most costly and should be abolished. Around 8,500 permanent parent visas are issued every year. The 2023 Migration Review from the Australian Treasury estimated that each parent visa costs Australian taxpayers $393,000: The Treasury has estimated that each parent permanent migrant costs $393,000 over their remaining lifetime in Australia. Older

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Albanese government announced on the weekend that it will increase the application charge on student visas from $1,600 to $2,000 if Labor is re-elected. The change will not affect arrangements for Pacific Island and Timor-Leste applicants. The visa fee increase is forecast to deliver $760 million to the budget over the forward estimates. “We

The post Increasing student visa fees is sound policy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The latest polling from Resolve Political Monitor shows Labor leading the Coalition 53% to 47% in two-party terms. Anthony Albanese also leads Peter Dutton by 47% to 31% as preferred Prime Minister. However, Resolve notes that Labor’s primary vote “remains weaker than it was at the last election, down from 32.6% to 3%, highlighting the

The post Peter Dutton prays for an election miracle appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:47 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the all-important Q1 2025 CPI inflation print. Headline inflation rose by 0.9% over the quarter and by 2.4% year over year. The result was slightly ahead of analysts’ expectations of a 2.4% annual increase. The more policy-important trimmed mean inflation printed at 0.7% in Q1 2025, in

The post Aussie inflation print greenlights May rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The ferrous complex is not well. As the trade shock begins. Morgan Stanley. Our Asia Economists see China’s 2Q GDP growth tracking below 4.5% Y/Y (vs. 5.4% Y/Y in1Q) as more hard data points are showing that tariffs are affecting activity: container throughput is declining, freight shipping prices to the US are slumping, and China’s

The post Iron ore at the edge appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 11:00 Source

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Victorians pay the highest state and local taxes in the nation. Victorians suffered a 40.5% increase in state and local government taxes since 2020-21, the largest increase in the nation. Victoria’s state taxes as a share of gross state product have also increased to 6.08%, the highest

The post Victoria swings axe amid “catastrophic budget” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear on diving US leading indicators.    Post crisis lows VIX at the lowest levels since the early April panic. Note the aggressive VVIX implosion, as well as the latest little bid in VVIX. Volatility is not dirt cheap, but early long volatility positions/hedges are starting to screen attractive again. Our full volatility

The post Here comes the recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The composition of Australia’s international student enrolments has changed drastically over the past 20 years. In December 2005, 288,579 overseas students were studying in Australia. China (63,695) dominated enrolments, with India (24,644) in a distant second position. The Department of Education didn’t even list Nepal. Nine years later, in December 2014, 452,965 overseas students enrolled in

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xkcd.com Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Juno mission data suggests that Jupiter actually contains Matryoshka doll-style nested copies of every other planet in the Solar System.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY struggles on. AUD is holding support. Lead boots plod on. Oil is pointing the way for growth. Metals meh. Mining meh. EM meh. Junk has entered autobid as equities rise. And yields fall. VIX down means stocks up with robots. Deutsche says DXY is stuffed. DB tracks two near real-time measures of US capital

The post Australian dollar rides greenback revulsion appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 09:00 Source

A better night on Wall Street due to better earnings reports and by absorbing the Canadian general election outcome. The USD was able to push back slightly against most of the majors although Pound Sterling remains at a new three year high amid the growing UK/EU detente on trade. The Canadian Loonie firmed slightly on

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 07:29 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 07:28 Source

CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index, which tracks value growth across the five major capital cities, recorded stalling momentum in April. Across the five major capitals, values rose by only 0.2% over the month, down from 0.4% growth in March. As illustrated below, the slowing in growth was broad-based, led by Sydney, Melbourne, and Adelaide, whereas

The post House prices fade as Aussies wait on RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 07:25 Source
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The Tally Room Wednesday, April 30, 2025 - 07:00 Source

Ben is joined by Peter Brent and the ABC’s Tom Crowley for the final pre-election episode of the 2025 federal election campaign. We discuss how a hung parliament might play out and the experience of riding Peter Dutton’s campaign bus. For our seat of the week we discuss the NSW seat of Werriwa.

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WixxyLeaks Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 17:37 Source

How I’ll be voting this election and why.

It’s not often that we get the chance to directly influence the manner in which the Australian Government deals with a continuing genocide.

With that, I thought I’d give you a rundown on what will guide my vote, and how I’ll be voting in the Senate.

To start with, let’s look at the major parties, and their current positions on the genocide.

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George Monbiot Monday, April 28, 2025 - 17:08 Source

This new legislation is the worst attack on England’s ecosystems in living memory.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian  24th April 2025

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New Politics Saturday, April 26, 2025 - 11:31 Source

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Prosper Australia Friday, April 25, 2025 - 12:12 Source

Let tax reform drive your voting decision this election with the Prosper Australia 2025 policy scorecard.

The post 2025 Federal election scorecard first appeared on Prosper Australia.

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Wednesday, April 16, 2025 - 00:05
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