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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 11:40 Source

The Albanese government has experienced a resurgence in the polls this month, increasing the likelihood that it will win a second term, albeit with the assistance of minor parties. The latest Roy Morgan polling shows that Labor has regained the lead with 51.5% of the two-party preferred vote, up 2% on the last reading. “If

The post Albo’s Labor bounces back in election polling appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The University of Melbourne is considered Australia’s most prestigious university globally. In 2025, it ranked 47th in the Times Higher Education Reputation Rankings. The University of Sydney was ranked at 60, while Monash University was at 63. The following graphic shows the scoring for the University of Melbourne, Australia’s top ranked institution: Melbourne University ranked

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xkcd.com Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 11:00 Source

It does come at the small cost of a LOT more off-by-40-or-50 errors.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Australian manufacturing is in terminal decline. Manufacturing comprises just over 5% of the Australian economy, the smallest share in the OECD. Exorbitant energy costs continue to drive manufacturers out of Australia. The latest insolvency data from ASIC shows that almost 1390 manufacturers nationwide have become insolvent since 2022-23. Among these, Incitec Pivot, a significant fertiliser

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is a falling stone. EUR to the moon! AUD followed the latter but can’t catch it. Lead boots stuck in concrete. Oil and gold meh. Copper looks uber-bullish. Thanks Goldman! Miners meh. EM meh. Junk a little down move but much more needed if US growth is really going to slow. Yields meh. Stocks

The post Australian dollar enters the death zone appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street continues to feel the heat coming out of the “Art of the Deal” from the White House as the trade spat with Canada continued overnight pulling European stocks down and keeping other risk assets at high volatility levels not seen for over a year. Asian stocks are likely to feel the correlated brunt

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 08:36 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 08:26 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 07:30 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, March 12, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released its Q4 national accounts last week, which was a disaster for households. While the overall economy finally exited the 21-month per capita recession, real per capita household consumption declined for a record eighth consecutive quarter. The income side of the ledger was even worse. Annual real per capita

The post Australian household incomes collapse appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 19:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 16:49 Source

      AUD/USD     EUR/USD     USD/JPY     GBP/USD     Gold     WTI     Brent     Australia 200     US S&P 500     UK 100     Japan 225  

The post Macro Afternoon: 11 March 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 15:20 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 14:45 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 14:21 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Elon Musk’s association with the Trump Administration has contributed to the tanking of Tesla sales across the globe. According to CarScoops, Tesla sales in Norway fell 44.4% in January through February, while in Germany, Tesla sales fell 76.3% in February compared to the same month in 2024. The picture becomes even bleaker when you realise

The post Tesla drives crash in EV sales appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 13:00 Source

This is about as surprising as Canberra being stupid. Goldman. CPI and PPI deflation in February:China’s February CPI and PPI inflation came in at-0.7% yoy and -2.2% yoy, respectively. Much of the CPI weakness came from thefalling demand post-Lunar New Year: food price inflation fell to -3.3% yoy (vs. +0.4%in January) and tourism price inflation

The post Chinese depression leads to war appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The past year has seen plenty of propaganda from the property industry warning that the decline in property investment in Victoria arising from the government’s land tax hikes will harm renters. Indeed, rental bond data from the Victorian Government showed a record decline of 24,726 rental properties (3.6% of total stock) in the year to

The post Melbourne has become a renters’ oasis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 12:00 Source

By Dr Cameron Murray and Aidan Morrison, cross-posted from Fresh Economic Thinking. How Australia’s electricity market got POLITICAL and cost us BILLIONS Why didn’t our experts get the same answers as those abroad on the cheapest way to generate and distribute electricity? Australians will pay hundreds of billions of dollars for new investment in the

The post Australians will pay for the politicisation of energy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 11:52 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Crikey wraps the controversy. In case you missed the back and forth yesterday, US President Donald Trump has been a touch annoyed at former Liberal PM Malcolm Turnbull telling Bloomberg the 78-year-old was “chaotic, rude, abusive and erratic” and his treatment of America’s allies would ultimately benefit China. Responding on his Truth Social platform, Trump

The post Let a thousand Malcolm’s bloom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 11:01 Source

Last month, the Australian Population Research Institute (TAPRI) released its survey on voter attitudes, which, among other things, showed that the overwhelming majority of voters do not support recent high levels of immigration or a Big Australia. Only 11% of the electorate support the current high migration settings, whereas 80% want lower migration numbers. TAPRI’s

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 11:00 Source

But still afraid. Westpac. • Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index up 4% to 95.9 in March. • Slowing inflation and rate cut lift confidence to three-year high. • Unsettling overseas news looks to be weighing on the outlook for the economy. • Sentiment towards major purchases showing a promising improvement. • Consumers’ own finances stabilising and

The post Consumers less afraid appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Last month, Australian journalist Matt Bell published the following article on the nation’s purported “skills crisis.” This was based on a report from recruitment firm Hays, which found that 85% of hiring managers grappled with “skills gaps” that continue to worsen despite a softer market and historically strong immigration. However, as shown recently by Greg

The post Australian labour shortages are a mirage appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 10:00 Source

What is the worst idea you can think of for Australia’s failed East Coast gas market? How about government’s underwriting LNG imports that will raise your bills 80%? You got it! The Australian. A Victorian government-led proposal to underwrite LNG imports could hike domestic gas prices and introduce a fresh risk of political intervention in

The post Government embraces gasmageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The Market Ear on the roaring bear. Equity vs bond panic VIX has left bond volatility behind. Source: Refinitiv Not all “panic” is equal VIX continues surging, but skew continues to do very little. A notable volatility “anomaly”. Source: Refinitiv Term structure panic VIX term structure exploding even higher, with the short end of the

The post No blood in the streets appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 09:18 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 08:04 Source

DXY held on as safe haven flows pick up despite the new super EUR. AUD crashed against everything. Lead boots stable Oil needs to be in the $50s. Commods are far too high for a US recession. Miners = dogs. EM likewsie. Junk is serene. Maybe it needs to break to flush this bearish impulse.

The post Australian dollar crashes with everything appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - 06:34 Source
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