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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 08:59 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Australia is suffering a generational housing shortage amid historically high immigration-driven population growth and sluggish housing supply. In late 2023, the National Cabinet agreed to a new Housing Accord, which would deliver 1.2 million homes over five years, commencing on 1 July 2024. Australian dwelling approvals, commencements, and completions are currently tracking around 25% (60,000)

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 05:55 Source

Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said he is “quite sad” about what he describes as waning interest in the UK in supporting Ukraine.

Speaking to The Telegraph at the Ukrainian embassy in London on Saturday, he lamented that support for Ukraine in the UK is declining.

“The interest in Ukraine and the appetite is so low nowadays. I find it quite sad,” Johnson said.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 04:44 Source

Australians who have been critical of AUKUS have tended to focus on Australian problems with it – it’s too dear, we have neither a nuclear industry nor a nuclear workforce, etc.

But very recent events and reported remarks by US Defence official Elbridge Colby show how much of a problem it — or at least the nuclear submarine aspect of it — is for the US.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 04:44 Source

Pope Leo XIV said the Israeli military’s deadly attack on Gaza’s sole Catholic Church was “just one of the continuous military attacks against the civilian population and places of worship” in the Palestinian enclave.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 00:05 Source

As shown by the following chart from Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, Australia’s recent productivity growth has been among the worst in the advanced world. Australia’s labour productivity (GDP per hour worked) has experienced virtually zero growth since 2016. Reasons for the productivity decline: I attribute Australia’s poor productivity performance to four main factors. 1)

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Your Democracy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 22:25 Source

They lie… We lie and all is well…

…. We justify our existence with unbelievable beliefs… The main question is “are we the only species trying to make sense (nonsense) about what we are?” 

“Are we the only species that can imagine the future beyond our next meal because of hunger or beyond the next session of nit-picking because we itch?”

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets are quite mixed in the first trading session of the week as concerns over the Trump regimes bullying of the EU in its “negotiations” over the looming August 1st trade deal are spilling over. The USD is losing ground against all the major currency pairs as a result with Yen also gapping

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 15:07 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 14:57 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand released CPI inflation data today, which showed that New Zealand inflation lifted further in Q2 to 2.7%. Major bank ASB noted that while the result wasn’t a surprise, “it is an unwelcome development after NZ endured years of high interest rates to tame rampant inflation”. “The last thing New

The post Inflation spike muddies Reserve Bank rate cut outlook appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The state of Victoria’s financial woes is well documented. In 2023-24, the state had the nation’s largest per capita net debt and the lowest credit rating (AA). Per capita state debt was only $3,600 in Labor’s first budget in 2015. It has since climbed to $21,900 and is projected over the budget forward estimates to

The post Welcome to Victoria: the insolvency state appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:25 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:19 Source

port augusta wind solar

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released monthly data on permanent and long-term arrivals, which suggested that net overseas migration (NOM) may have surged back over the first half of 2025. The 245,900 net arrivals recorded over the first five months of 2025 were the highest on record, surpassing last year’s record of

The post Is immigration into Australia surging or falling? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Iieeeeuuuuuu… Why use an AI when you have the Aussie PM on his knees? The CCP propaganda arm, The Global Times, is cock-a-whoop. Two issues are particularly noteworthy during Albanese’s visit to China, as they have sent a message to the world that  Australia is re-balancing its international relationships to assert its core national interests,

The post Creepy Albo turns CCP propaganda pin-up boy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The bubble is back. The Market Ear. Basically buying UBS sees CTAs doubling their equity exposure, adding $60-70bln over the next 2 weeks. They are basically buyers in all scenarios, unless SPX turns below 6k. Source: UBS Retail buying UBS on retail buying (proxied by ETF action): 1. Retail investors sold US stocks from mid-April

The post The bubble inflates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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THE BLOT REPORT Monday, July 21, 2025 - 11:40 Source

Having to deal with recent monumentally stupid management decisions in the organisation where I used to work and, until a few months ago, at which I used to volunteer, made me think about some of the stupidity I encountered from management in the past. One of these happened nearly three decades ago. Because of my particular palaeontological expertise, I was asked to be involved in a project with the Northern Territory Geological Survey (NTGS). They were about to begin remapping several 1:250,000 geological map sheets in the Georgina Basin. This basin is enormous and is about 330,000 sq km in size, about the size of modern Germany.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 11:30 Source

China is not signalling imminent breakout stimulus. Bloomberg. China’s trade with the world is within reasonable bounds and the nation isn’t out to dominate global markets, a senior official said, pointing to figures showing domestic consumption is driving economic growth. “Most of China’s production is intended to meet domestic demand,” Vice Finance Minister Liao Min said in

The post China defends economic doom model appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The housing crisis persists in a significant portion of the nation, and neither the Albanese government nor state governments appear to be making the necessary policy changes to tackle the housing deficit effectively. According to figures from the Albanese government’s National Housing Supply and Affordability Council (NHSAC), the housing deficit is projected to increase annually

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 10:30 Source

South African fashion retailer The Foschini Group has 563 stores across Australia, and its brands include Tarocash, Connor, and Johnny Bigg. Foschini’s financial accounts show that its Australian sales fell by nearly 3% to $745 million in the year to 31 March 2025. The company told investors and analysts that its Australian division is being

The post Recession smashes Aussie retailers appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The ferrous complex is fast hurtling into the absurd. Above $100, an abundant Indian supply will gush back into the market. And we’ve got some shorts to squeeze. Meanwhile. Pilbara killer port operations are coming to life as huge transformer-like monsters are installed. Such state-of-the-art operations risk the possibility of outperforming projected volume benchmarks. Yawnulus

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xkcd.com Monday, July 21, 2025 - 10:00 Source

 Mallard, eastern poison ivy.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Are Australians so grotesquely entitled that they’d rather jettison democracy than pay a little more for their defence of said democracy? From The Australian: Core support for the Coalition has collapsed to the lowest point in 40 years following Labor’s convincing election victory, despite poor approval ratings for Anthony Albanese’s leadership at the start of

The post Peak Labor is here appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Friday night saw risk markets hinge on more trade concerns with the Trump regime pushing for a baseline 15-20% tariff on all EU products while at the same time obfuscating any real chance of a deal with Japan, which went into the final session of the trading week under an election cloud. Wall Street tried

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 08:00 Source

I reported last week that Australians have become increasingly bullish on house prices, with the latest Westpac consumer sentiment index showing that house price expectations have surged to a cyclical high, coinciding with a strong rebound in the “time to buy a dwelling” index. The auction market matches the surge in expectations. Cotality reported that

The post RBA and government put a rocket under house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 05:55 Source

ONE OF THE BIGGEST ADVANCES in public health from the last few years is one that you’ve probably never heard about—and one that now may be in jeopardy thanks to the Trump administration.

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Your Democracy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 05:46 Source

Alan MacLeod looks at how the Swedish climate activist widened her focus to the capitalist system and Israeli genocide in Gaza and lost the attention of the corporate press.

Once the favoured child of the establishment, Greta Thunberg has been dropped by the global elite.

 

From Media Darling to Persona Non Grata: Greta Thunberg’s Journey

 

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Your Democracy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 04:44 Source

 

For the past 500 years, the West has reigned as the world’s dominant civilization. Though its grip has loosened in recent years, the West – especially the United States – remains the most powerful force in global politics and the international economy. This power, while capable of building plenty, also carries the potential to destroy a lot.

 

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 21, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Australia’s ‘miracle’ labour market has been living in somewhat of a fool’s paradise. A boom in government-funded jobs has driven Australia’s strong job growth and historically low unemployment rate. The non-market sector, which comprises public and private service providers that rely on government funding, has accounted for 60% of total job creation since the pandemic

The post Unemployment shock to trigger RBA rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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