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The Tally Room Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 15:58 Source

Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham and Chris Monnox to discuss the results of the Tasmanian state election and prospects for the formation of a new government.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 15:48 Source

Tonight, I will be appearing on DFA Live with Martin North from 8:00 pm AEST, where we will discuss everything related to housing, energy, and the economy. The YouTube feed is below. I hope to see you there.

The post Join me tonight on DFA Live with Martin North appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 15:14 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 14:39 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 14:28 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 14:15 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Wokey continues its good work for the CCP, led by Bernard Keane, China groveller extraordinaire. Abbott’s hypocrisy on this was so extraordinary that even the toddler speaking with him pointed out he’d negotiated a free trade agreement with China when he was briefly prime minister. Abbott defended himself by saying it was possible to see

The post Bernard Keane turns nasty China groveller appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The federal government’s election pledge to reduce student debt for about three million Australians will be a legislative priority for the first week of the new parliament. University graduates will have their debt reduced by 20%, but e61 Institute economists Jack Buckley and Matthew Maltman have concluded that people in the top third of income-earners

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 13:28 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Westpac with the credit card tracker. The Westpac-DataX Card Tracker Index* was largely unchanged over the first two weeks of July. At 137, the latest weekly read continues to hold around the lower end of the range seen since mid-May.   The quarterly growth pulse is holding in the 0.9-1.1% range that has prevailed for

The post Aussie consumer crawls along appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Drew Hutton has been credited with co-founding the Greens with Bob Brown. Hutton was the lead Queensland Greens Senate candidate for many years and ran for the party in numerous elections. Following his retirement from parliament, he founded Lock the Gate and led a successful campaign against coal seam gas. However, on June 24, Drew

The post Australian Greens transition to irrelevance appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 12:22 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Goldman with the note. …the Central Commission for Financial and Economic Affairs (CCFEA) meeting chaired by President Xi on July 1 called for building a “unified national market” to discourage local protectionism, as well as regulating disorderly price-cutting and excessive competition among producers. For background, the CCFEA held a meeting on the “healthy development of

The post Why does China overproduce eveything? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Scott Maynard, managing director of electric vehicle (EV) maker Polestar in Australia, has called for an end to tax breaks for large four-wheel-drive utes. Maynard says the fringe benefits tax (FBT) concession “continues to disproportionately serve the sale of dual cab utes and not what I would consider to be a far more progressive style

The post EV hypocrites run wild appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 11:00 Source

We know that we are wrecking our economy with crazy high gas prices. We also know that this is a direct result of subsidising gas exports to China, which it sends back as battleships. We know that Japan resells huge quantities of cheap Aussie gas across Asia at a markup. We know that we need

The post Energy superidiot approaches peak gas stupid appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Yesterday, I started paying for ChatGPT. I am not the only one. The Market Ear.  Silicon smackdown: Will OpenAI ever be matched? OpenAI has become the AI industry’s dominant force, with 800M users and a $300B valuation—but the race is far from over. As Gavin Baker notes, an Apple-Grok partnership could be the strategic counter

The post US dominates AI…so far appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 10:03 Source

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's recent Six-day visit to China was important. China is Australia's largest trading partner.From Beijing perspective it was certainly a success.As the Communist Party's propaganda sheet, the Global Times, observed  "the relationship is now flying in the stratosphere" after years of strained ties under the previous Morrison government.

 

MAURICE NEWMAN, THE DAILY TELEGRAPH

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Less than two months before Australia went to the polls for May’s federal election, the expectation was that the Coalition would achieve a shock victory, becoming the first opposition to unseat a federal government after a single term since the Great Depression. Then, as the spotlight turned to then Opposition Leader Peter Dutton, his frontbench,

The post Coalition weakness hands Albanese ultimate power appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:54 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The ferrous complex continues to squeeze with seasonality. Previous squeezes in the past year suggest a price cap around $110. Right where Indian exports will surge. Is there anything to it? Not really. So far, we have had excuses such as Chinese property mega-stimulus. Albo grovelling. A new dam. For example: The massive economic stimulus

The post Iron ore short squeeze roars higher appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:28 Source

Tasmanian election results can often be simplified to totals for each party in each electorate. But votes aren’t cast for parties, they’re cast for candidates. When candidates are elected or excluded, preferences don’t always flow to fellow members of the same party (or “leakage”). A particularly efficient distribution of votes within a party group can also allow a party to compete for an extra seat beyond what the party totals might suggest.

For today’s post I will run through the current state of play in terms of vote shares for the key candidates in each electorate, and the other blocks of votes that will come into play.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:08 Source

Last night, with a spare half-hour and my brain fried from a day of reading and writing, I decided to dive into the eleventy million streaming apps on my iPad. The first one I opened, Disney, served up M*A*S*H as an option, and for some reason, the "Captain Tuttle" episode immediately popped into my head.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Last night saw risk markets barely move on a quiet economic calendar or geopolitical catalysts with only the USD having any reactions as continued trade concerns with the Trump regime pushing for a baseline 15-20% tariff on all EU products sending King Dollar down against everything. Wall Street eked out more record highs with minimal

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 08:59 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Australia is suffering a generational housing shortage amid historically high immigration-driven population growth and sluggish housing supply. In late 2023, the National Cabinet agreed to a new Housing Accord, which would deliver 1.2 million homes over five years, commencing on 1 July 2024. Australian dwelling approvals, commencements, and completions are currently tracking around 25% (60,000)

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 05:55 Source

Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said he is “quite sad” about what he describes as waning interest in the UK in supporting Ukraine.

Speaking to The Telegraph at the Ukrainian embassy in London on Saturday, he lamented that support for Ukraine in the UK is declining.

“The interest in Ukraine and the appetite is so low nowadays. I find it quite sad,” Johnson said.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 04:44 Source

Australians who have been critical of AUKUS have tended to focus on Australian problems with it – it’s too dear, we have neither a nuclear industry nor a nuclear workforce, etc.

But very recent events and reported remarks by US Defence official Elbridge Colby show how much of a problem it — or at least the nuclear submarine aspect of it — is for the US.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 04:44 Source

Pope Leo XIV said the Israeli military’s deadly attack on Gaza’s sole Catholic Church was “just one of the continuous military attacks against the civilian population and places of worship” in the Palestinian enclave.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 00:05 Source

As shown by the following chart from Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, Australia’s recent productivity growth has been among the worst in the advanced world. Australia’s labour productivity (GDP per hour worked) has experienced virtually zero growth since 2016. Reasons for the productivity decline: I attribute Australia’s poor productivity performance to four main factors. 1)

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Your Democracy Monday, July 21, 2025 - 22:25 Source

They lie… We lie and all is well…

…. We justify our existence with unbelievable beliefs… The main question is “are we the only species trying to make sense (nonsense) about what we are?” 

“Are we the only species that can imagine the future beyond our next meal because of hunger or beyond the next session of nit-picking because we itch?”

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