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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear on one winner as US growth fades. Breaking out Gold extending the move above the short term trend line. So far the bounce on the 50 day and the longer term trend line have been pretty much perfect. A close here, or higher, and we will start talking about all time highs.

The post Gold charges for new high appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 12:00 Source

By Stephen Saunders  Here’s Mr Albanese, pretending to re-fly the Coalition’s east-coast gas reservation, outing his 40-year emissions-rich “surprise” for Woodside NW Shelf gas, while smirking “it’s net zero, not zero”.  At Election 2025, Peter Dutton kicked the own-goal of nuclear-net-zero. Reappointed Albanese Labor climate-Svengali Chris Bowen still spruiks 43% emissions reduction towards net zero.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Poor old McGoo, does it again it. From Goldman: Overall, the late-2024 pick-up in Australian economic momentum looks to have faltered in 1Q2025, raising downside risks to the RBA’s (recently downgraded) forecast consumer recovery. Looking ahead, a substantial RBA easing cycle will be required to spur a sustainable growth into private demand in our view,

The post More and more rate cuts coming appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Earlier this week, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese suggested that Labor would negotiate with the Coalition on superannuation reforms, raising the prospect that it would abandon its proposal to tax unrealised capital gains. However, Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Wednesday slammed the door on that notion, stating that Labor would strike a deal with the Greens that

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Wednesday’s national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that Australia’s per capita GDP declined by 0.2% in Q1 2025 and by 0.4% year-on-year. This represented the ninth decline in eleven quarters, with per capita GDP down a total of 1.7% over that period. The overall GDP growth of 0.2% also badly

The post Jim Chalmers puts lipstick on economic pig appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 10:00 Source

DXY at the brink. Lousy jobs Friday will push it over. Its Costanza Day for the AUD. The China/ Australia marriage. Gold poised. Metals lagging. Miners meh. EM meh. Junk meh. Yield relief. Bad news is good news. It a lousy ISM services and ADP that the market moving with hope of Fed relief. The

The post Australian dollar rises on weak US economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 09:08 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Last night saw the release of the latest US ISM services and private jobs data reports and both slumped below market expectations, halting the mini rally on Wall Street and tanking the USD once again. More talk but no resulting trade deals couldn’t lift King Dollar as the Trump regime patiently waits for the, let

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 08:30 Source

I found myself home alone last night, and with my new Neff oven finally installed, I figured it was time to check out some features.

Earlier in the day, I’d picked up a small rolled pork loin, and I spent some time reading about the oven’s built-in meat thermometer and steamer function. I couldn’t quite figure out how to use the steamer and still crisp the pork crackling at the same time, so I put that aside for a future cook.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) valued education exports at $51 billion in 2023-24, suggesting a massive benefit to the Australian economy. The ABS estimates this astonishing export figure using “an average spend estimate from Tourism Research Australia … supplemented by the addition of total expenditure on course fees”. The ABS incorrectly classifies all international

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Renew Economy Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 07:18 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 5, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Q1 national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) were released on Wednesday, which revealed that per capita GDP fell back into negative territory following a brief respite in Q4 2024. Real per capita GDP declined by 0.2% in Q1. This represented the ninth quarterly decline in the past 11 quarters, with per

The post Australian living standards are in decline appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 19:41 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 18:14 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 17:21 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Its still all about the art of the deal as the Trump regime struggles to find anyone wanting to come to the table with more tit for tat accusations between China still not yet upsetting risk markets. Currencies are in a holding pattern, digesting a lot of macro events and geopolitics with tonight’s Canadian central

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:38 Source
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Prosper Australia Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:24 Source

By Cameron Murray and Tim Helm This article was originally published on Fresh Economic Thinking. Posted here with permission. A recent working paper by Schuyler Louie, John A. Mondragon, and Johannes Wieland has been making waves in urban economics circles. The paper title might provide a clue as to why— “Supply Constraints do not Explain House Price […]

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:14 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

There goes the hope for curing all of the East Coast’s energy problems. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has praised Western Australia’s domestic gas reservation scheme and says his government already has the power to force producers to sell to the local market on the east coast. …Albanese on Tuesday sought to distance any arrangement Labor

The post Aaaaand, it’s back to gas permacrisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

On Tuesday, the Fair Work Commission (FWC) decided to lift the national minimum wage and award wages by 3.5% from 1 July this year. The key justification given for the decision was to provide some real wage catch-up. Business groups met the decision with their usual backlash, claiming that higher minimum and award wages would

The post Business groups wrong about wages and productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:51 Source

Today’s Q1 national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that Australians lurched back into recession, with per capita GDP growth declining by 0.2% over the quarter: Per capita GDP has declined in nine of the last 11 quarters, down a total of 1.7% over that period. The overall economy also grew by

The post Australians slide back into recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear on the hated rally. …to start talking about all time highs? NASDAQ trading right on those huge levels. Source: LSEG Workspace Stopped in “Net leverage for the full PB book rose more than +8 pts in May, the largest monthly increase on our record, driven by large global net buying and mark-to-market“.

The post Love the hated rally to ATH! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

NSW Opposition Leader Mark Speakman has accused Premier Chris Minns of blaming federal tobacco taxes for the fact that the illegal tobacco trade in the state is “out of control”. Minns has suggested that cutting tobacco taxes would lead to a reduction in black market tobacco activity, leaving NSW Police with more resources to combat

The post Less is more with tobacco taxes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

It’s goodbye, Chinese steel prices. No good news. Despite the tariff reduction after the US-China trade talks in Geneva, the headline Caixin manufacturing PMI fell notably to 48.3 in May from 50.4 in April, contrary to market expectations of an uptick. Among the major sub-indexes, the output sub-index decreased the most, followed by the new

The post Steel goes into the abyss appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Australia recorded a tiny 0.05% rise in carbon emissions in 2024, which has the usual suspects whining. As reported by the Guardian: Emissions last year were estimated to be 446.4m tonnes of carbon dioxide, 0.2m tonnes higher than in 2023. The increase is largely due to pollution from electricity generation rising by 2.2%, reversing a

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:38 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Victoria’s finances are in a dire state. Victoria’s net debt was only $22.3 billion when the Labor government presented its first state budget in 2015. It has now risen to $155.5 billion and is expected to reach $194 billion by 2028-29, according to budget projections. Victorian net debt per capita was under $3,600 in Labor’s

The post Victorian government begs rating agencies for stay of execution appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:25 Source
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