Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Last week’s Q1 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), revealed that real per capita home consumption has been negative for seven consecutive quarters on an annual basis, down 2.4% from its peak. The fall in household spending occurred despite a 1.8% increase in real per capita household incomes in the year

The post “Scarred” households refuse to spend appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 52
Renew Economy Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 13:07 Source
Read more Views: 91
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 13:00 Source

ANZ doesn’t think so. Heightened global trade uncertainty has been driving gold’s rise toward USD3,500/oz. While noise around US tariffs persists,we believe the market will gradually become desensitized to new announcements. As this occurs, macro economic data are likely to take over as the primary catalyst. Market expectations of the level of US tariffs have

The post Gold exhausted? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 59
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 12:30 Source

NSW Premier Chris Minns wants to solve Sydney’s housing crisis by accelerating the supply of shoebox apartments. A few weeks back, Minns argued that previous governments had been “timid” due to “the NIMBY [Not In My Backyard] backlash” and claimed the public conversation had shifted to “opening the gates to more urban consolidation and development”. “I

The post Minns is wrong about Sydney’s housing crisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 60
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 12:05 Source

The biggest narrative in world markets surrounds the US. On one hand, the US economy has been growing strongly, is resilient and has seen significant productivity growth. On the other, it is being assailed by a raft of economic uncertainties, from tariffs, to domestic demand, capital expenditure plans, tourism, higher interest rates, higher wage growth

The post MB Fund Podcast: Economic Tipping Points appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 78
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Stats New Zealand released data showing that net overseas migration (NOM) fell to 21,300 for the year ending April 2025, a decline from 90,900 a year earlier. This represented a 2½ year low for NOM, driven by slowing arrivals of non-NZ citizens and elevated departures. “Easing arrivals and strengthening departures of non-NZ citizens and still-sizeable

The post ‘Brain drain’ sees young Kiwis flee to Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 53
Renew Economy Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 11:40 Source
Read more Views: 90
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Following the recent practice bombing of every major Australian city by a nuclear-capable flotilla of Chinese warships, Japan has notified allies that Xi’s coming south in other ways as well. Japan said it observed two Chinese aircraft carriers and supporting warships operating simultaneously near remote Japanese islands in the Pacific Ocean for the first time,

The post Xi’s coming south with aircraft carriers appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 54
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The “Stats Guy”, Simon Kuestenmacher, is a well-known immigration shill. For years, he has spread propaganda in support of Big Australia immigration. Last year, Kuestenmacher claimed that Australia’s skills shortages would grow unless net overseas migration remained at a historically high level. In February, Kuestenmacher stated that “Australia is running out of workers and increasingly faces

Read more Views: 51
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 10:30 Source

We are approaching the buy-everything blowoff of the rally. The Market Ear. Getting there SPX and NASDAQ both approaching huge resistance area. At least a pause? Source: LSEG Workspace Source: LSEG Workspace That was quick Strongest comeback in 75 years… Source: DB The Russell revival Russell futures continue pushing higher post the break out. The

The post Stock frenzy grows appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 85
The Tally Room Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Australian Electoral Commission conducts a two-party-preferred vote in every seat, which is a count between Labor and the leading Liberal or Nationals candidate. In seats where the two-candidate-preferred vote is not Labor vs Coalition, they do the count later. With 35 seats now “non-classic”, the AEC needs to conduct those notional 2PP counts in more and more seats.

Read more Views: 82
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Victoria’s power grid is on heightened alert after an unexpected outage at the state’s second-largest coal-fired power station, which has elevated concerns that colder weather could strain the market and drive up wholesale electricity prices: EnergyAustralia, which owns the Yallourn power station in the Latrobe Valley, has confirmed one of the plant’s four units is

The post Australia desperately needs reliable baseload power appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 50
Your Democracy Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 09:42 Source

Hours after being deported from Israel, Greta Thunberg accused the country of kidnapping her and her fellow activists in international waters, adding that she had refused to sign a document stating that she had entered Israel illegally.

Read more Views: 26
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is still sinking. But AUD did as well. Lead boots are struggling. Oil nutso on Middle East was rumours and the machine bid. Metals meh. Miners meh. EM breakout. Needs lower DXY to roll. Junk liked US inflation. So did yields. Stocks stopped. The FT has rumours. It was not clear what caused the

The post Australian dollar shot down by rumours of war appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 47
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 09:00 Source

A weaker than expected US inflation print overshadowed the not-a-deal US-China trade talk announcement from the Trump regime that looks almost exactly like a return to the early April settings. Wall Street couldn’t swing either of these events as positive with European shares also continuing their pullback as the USD fell back against most of

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 52
Renew Economy Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 08:36 Source
Read more Views: 56
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Over recent years, Queensland has experienced a large inflow of residents from other states. Between Q1 2020 and Q3 2024, 168,500 residents from other states relocated to Queensland. Many of these residents came from Victoria, which lost 55,400 net residents over the same period. The surge in net interstate migration into Queensland and the loss

The post Why Queenslanders might start moving to Victoria appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 96
Your Democracy Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 07:40 Source
Read more Views: 23
MacroBusiness Thursday, June 12, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released data on Australia’s housing stock, which was valued at a record $11,366 billion as of Q1 2025, equating to $1,002,500 per dwelling. The following chart plots the value of Australia’s dwelling stock against the nation’s GDP and shows that the total stock was worth 4.14 times the size

The post Australia is a housing bubble with an economy attached appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 99
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 22:04 Source

valley of the winds landscape

Read more Views: 99
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets are having a much more relaxed session across the region as speculation of a possibly positive outcome from the US-China trade talks builds although this might be goosed tonight as European and US share futures are slowly taking a dive. Currency markets are holding their own against recent USD strength as most

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 97
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 15:08 Source
Read more Views: 94
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 14:33 Source
Read more Views: 95
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro posted the following chart, which shows the collapse in mortgage rates in New Zealand. “The weighted-average interest rate on outstanding mortgages in New Zealand declined another 9bps to 5.91% in April, taking the cumulative fall to nearly 50bps since the peak”, noted Fabo. “More is coming”. Falling mortgage rates have

Read more Views: 63
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The official Q1 CPI inflation data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that the policy-important trimmed mean inflation rate fell to 2.9% year over year, staying within the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) inflation target range of 2% to 3%. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s media appearance following last month’s 0.25% rate cut suggested

The post Australian inflation dives appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 72
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 13:07 Source
Read more Views: 96
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 13:04 Source
Read more Views: 83
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market Ear still sees fuel to go higher. King SMH SMH continues the squeeze higher, approaching year highs quickly. The bounce on the 21 day and the lower part of the perfect channel was a schoolbook example. Make sure to roll the call spreads into higher strikes for max optionality. Source: LSEG Workspace Not many longs

The post Stocks head for all-time high, then “VaR event” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 92
Prosper Australia Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 12:57 Source
Read more Views: 96
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 11, 2025 - 12:53 Source
Read more Views: 110

Pages