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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 18:11 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 18:05 Source
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The Tally Room Monday, June 16, 2025 - 16:26 Source

Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the collapse of the Tasmanian government just 15 months after the last election, and to look at some of the early moves for independents to find a new party home.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 16:00 Source

The Israel-Iran war continues to dominate risk markets as the new trading week gets underway here in Asia with share markets quite mixed while there has been a slight bit of strength in USD over the weekend gap, but still far from a proper safe haven bid. With all eyes on the Middle East conflict,

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Monday, June 16, 2025 - 15:44 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

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John Quiggin Monday, June 16, 2025 - 15:43 Source

Hi everyone

My  Brissie to the Bay cycle for MS Queensland, a huge success. Donations totalled $2595, which gave me the title of “Neuro Legend”. Thanks again to all the readers and friends who keep me going on events like this. I’ll never be competitive as a triathlete, but I’m still on top of my game as a fundraiser.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 15:20 Source
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Cheeseburger Gothic Monday, June 16, 2025 - 15:12 Source

I had a very grown-up weekend. Jane and I had lunch at a little French place down in the Valley, A la Bonne Franquette, a spot I’d never noticed before, but it was fantastic—then we caught Materialists at the cinema across the street.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 15:05 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 14:41 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 14:10 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 14:07 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 14:05 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 14:03 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Following one of the largest increases in the industrialised world during the Covid-19 pandemic, New Zealand’s housing prices fell sharply. According to the REINZ home price index, presented below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, New Zealand’s real inflation-adjusted home prices have reverted to pre-pandemic levels. Separate data provided this month by Cotality reported that

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 13:30 Source

It is a long-held belief of many in the Labor Party. Today it has morphed into doubts about AUKUS. Labor stalwart Sean Kelly. AUKUS, with its pros and cons, commands many column inches in this country; periodically it becomes the central topic of political debate, as it did last week. Similarly, there is much discussion

The post Should Australia give up on America? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 13:00 Source

ANZ has a good idea. Property construction will decline another 30% to 580 million m2 by 2035 in our baseline scenario. Over 50% of new demand will stem from upgrading, instead of urbanisation. Urban renewal is unlikely to contribute much to the sector. Property rent rather than property price will be crucial to stabilise the

The post Chinese property bottom far, far away appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 12:20 Source

Santos runs two LNG export trains out of Gladstone, Queensland, which siphons up East Coast gas and ships it to Asia (mostly China). Since Santos’ LNG export trains came online in 2015 (alongside others), the volume of gas produced on the East Coast has doubled, while 25% less gas has been supplied to domestic users.

The post Abu Dhabi launches takeover of Australian gas appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Policy makers and economists are concerned that the retirement of the Baby Boomer generation and an ageing population could see the nation’s workforce heavily diminished in the future. For example, Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers warned in January 2023, just as immigration was ramping to record levels, that longer life expectancy and a sharp decline in

The post Australia should not fear population ageing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Anybody who believes that meeting Labor’s 82% Renewable Energy Target (RET) by 2030 is achievable or affordable is delusional. To achieve Labor’s fantastical target, most of Australia’s baseload coal generation—the backbone of the nation’s electricity grid—would need to be shut down and replaced with intermittent and weather-dependent wind and solar generation, backed up with battery

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 11:00 Source

May Chinese credit was soft. The recent acceleration in total social financing stalled at 8.7% year-on-year stock growth. And don’t forget that a lot of this is debt swaps with local governments, so the real number is more like 8%. Other indicators are pretty soft as well. Power is tepid. Tourism remained tepid. Exports are

The post Chinese credit and economy slide appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 10:30 Source

How long can steel fall and iron ore not? Coking coal is still sliding as well, which offers some explanation. Flat steel demand remains stagnant. Long steel is wrecked. Output is getting pulverised. One wonders if the mooted 50 mt in output cuts are taking effect. The steel market appears sick.

The post Iron ore market sickens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 10:24 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 10:00 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Markets are half-panicked by the latest Middle East war. Oil Israel’s attacks on Iranian air defense systems and nuclear capabilities re-opens awide range of possible avenues via which oil supply could be disrupted. Importantly, it may also derail the process of US-Iran nuclear deal talks which were scheduled to continue in Oman on Sunday, although

The post Israel and Iran same old, same old? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Monday, June 16, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Sure, this exoplanet we discovered may seem hostile to life, but our calculations suggest it's actually in the accretion disc's habitable zone.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Ah, the gas cartel, that wondrous beast that knows no bounds of decency. Via Petroleum Australia: Australia Pacific LNG (APLNG), the country’s largest liquefied natural gas exporter on the east coast, has agreed to a substantial price reduction under its flagship 7.6 million tonne per annum contract with China’s Sinopec. The move, anticipated to cost

The post Aussies pay much more than China for own gas appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Friday’s session was dominated by the Israeli-Iranian war with an initial flight to safety to USD that then faded, coupled with an actual rise in Treasury yields. This is not usual in times of high risk and is a symptom of the flailing global monetary order. The 30 year yield finished close to the 5%

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, June 16, 2025 - 08:51 Source

 

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 16, 2025 - 08:00 Source

I am philosophically opposed to taxpayers providing subsidies for private car transportation. Most of these subsidies flow to higher-income earners. Therefore, these subsidies serve as a prime example of the reverse Robin Hood phenomenon, where the rich benefit at the expense of the poor. Electric vehicle (EV) subsidies are exceptionally costly and egregious. The Fringe

The post Abolish EV subsidies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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