By Harry Ottley, Economist at CBA TheAustralian unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1% in May. Population growth in Australia continues to ease, with the annual rate down to 1.7% in Q4 24. News offshore was dominated by geopolitical events as Israel and Iran continued hostilities following initial Israeli strikes a week ago. The FOMC left
Cotality’s preliminary auction report revealed that the national clearance rate was 73.9% this weekend, which is the highest preliminary result since July 2024. Melbourne recorded a preliminary clearance rate of 76.6%, which is the highest since May 2023. Sydney’s clearance rate of 73.5% was the city’s highest since the week ending 23 February 2025, following
In this MacroBusiness podcast, Gunnamatta, banking insider Deep T, and Leith van Onselen unpack the latest productivity summit, Australia’s broken economic model, Australia’s energy policy failures, and other issues. Highlights: 0:00 Introduction 1:26 Why Australia’s productivity stinks 10:27 The economic Ponzi scheme 21:29 The economy is designed to fail 26:13 Australia should be the richest nation
International Reading: The RAND Corporation estimates that rich parasites have stolen $79 Trillion from workers and the public since 1975 – Rand Trump Attacks ‘American Disgrace’ Jerome Powell: ‘One of the Dumbest, and Most Destructive, People in Government’ – Mediate Social Security is on track to deplete its trust funds by 2034, one year sooner
AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225 …..and furthermore….. East listening
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Cotality’s latest dwelling value results for New Zealand revealed that home values fell by 1.6% in the year to May to be 16.3% lower than their peak. As illustrated in the following chart from Cotality, home values have fallen heavily across all major markets. Separate data from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ),
Let’s do some more worrying, shall we. The Australian. The waning possibility of Anthony Albanese landing a face-to-face meeting with Donald Trump in coming weeks has sparked alarm from the Coalition and defence experts, who have raised concern about the two leaders not meeting before Washington’s controversial AUKUS review concludes and instead leaving the outcome
The Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia’s (ASFA) latest modelling suggests that a couple who own their home now requires annual income of $73,875 to live comfortably in retirement. The figure for a single person who owns their home is $52,383. The analysis also shows that the cost of a comfortable retirement increased by 1.6% in
The Market Ear with the charts. AI or die Goldman’s AI winners basket hit a fresh all-time high, while AI-risk names dropped again. Source: GS/Bloomberg The pulse on tech Mag7 names now make up ~15% of US net exposure (up from ~11% in April), but still well below the ~21% peak in mid-2024. The L/S
Thursday’s Q4 2024 population data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that “natural increase” (i.e., the number of births minus deaths) fell to only 105,200 in 2024, close to the lowest level on record. There were 292,500 births in 2024, offset by 187,300 deaths, the latter of which have risen following the Covid-19