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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 12:30
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Is the gold boom turning to a bust, or is this only the first phase of a much bigger cycle? The bull case depends on why you own gold and how you choose to hold it. The “what” and “how” matter as much as the “whether.” Gold is a greater fool investment I’m going to start The post Seven factors driving the gold price appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 12:23
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Renew Economy
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 12:04
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 12:00
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The managed decline of the Chinese economy continues as the property sector is hollowed out. Last year’s yawnulus didn’t touch the sides of the bottomless black hole. Coal consumption growth has completely stalled. Trade appears to be booming. But only if China is shipping more smaller and lighter items. The economy has been pancaked for The post Chinese golden Titanic sinks on appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 11:52
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 11:30
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Almost every infrastructure expert opposed the Victorian government’s Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) because the price tag was excessive, the project lacked a business case, it failed any objective cost-benefit analysis, and it would have insufficient user demand. For example, a cost-benefit analysis by Victoria’s Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) found that the SRL East and North |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 11:00
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Throughout much of the last term of federal parliament, the Coalition under its then leader Peter Dutton made a case that the Albanese government was unable to adequately manage the nation’s affairs, using words like “disaster” to characterise some of the government’s policies. While there is certainly a case to be made that the Albanese The post The Liberal party is floundering appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 11:00
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Renew Economy
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 10:50
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Renew Economy
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 10:40
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Renew Economy
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 10:36
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 10:30
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DXY is up and away! Euro toast. AUD is stuck on the treadmill from hell. CNY down. Gold still looks shaky to me as DXY firms. AI metals find a headwind. Big miners, big shooting star. EM toppy. Jun rejection! Yield back-up continues but is not a trend break yet. Stocks trying/ The Market Ear The post Australian dollar flogged with Euro appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 10:00
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Iron ore is riding high with the Pilbara killer one week away. Dynamics have shifted, as expected. Late last week, hot metal output fell to 2.36mt. This has been low enough to reverse the steel inventory accumulation, though it is still much higher than last year. In turn, port inventories of iron ore are on The post Pilbara killler one week away appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 09:30
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The East Coast gas cartel is destroying your living standards by injecting ceaseless cost-push inflation into the headwaters of the supply chain for every business in the country east of WA. It is the core of household’s cost-of-living crisis as well, adding about 6% to the CPI year on year since 2021. By itself, not The post Albo’s great gas cartel control fraud appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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The Tally Room
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 09:30
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Yes, it’s very early, but I’ve launched my partial guide to the next Australian federal election, due in 2028. This guide covers the 102 House seats in New South Wales, Victoria, Western Australia and the Northern Territory. These jurisdictions won’t have a redistribution (barring an expansion of parliament). The guide also features guides to the eight Senate contests. If there is no parliamentary expansion, this redistribution cycle is one of the least significant we’ve had. This makes it easier and quicker to get the guide ready. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 09:00
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Friday night saw Wall Street rally after falling for several sessions, but again it was tech stock earnings due to the AI bubble keeping everything afloat. The USD is still reasserting its recent strength against all the majors although gold is trying to make a comeback with Euro and Pound Sterling falling sharply while the The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 08:00
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When Clare O’Neil was Australia’s Home Affairs Minister, she regularly lamented that Australia’s migration system was too temporary and was holding the nation back. “Today, really for the first time in our modern history, our uncapped, unplanned temporary program is the centrepiece and driver of our migration system. This simple fact is the source of huge The post Temporary visa numbers surge to new record high appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, November 3, 2025 - 00:05
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The Albanese government’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers, effective from 1 October, appears to have significantly boosted home prices. Cotality’s house price results for October reported the strongest increase in values since June 2023, up 1.1% over the month and 2.9% over the quarter at the combined capital city level. Over the past The post Australia’s housing crisis takes nasty turn appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Sunday, November 2, 2025 - 18:01
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Renew Economy
Sunday, November 2, 2025 - 17:32
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MacroBusiness
Sunday, November 2, 2025 - 11:10
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Last week’s shocking inflation result, which saw Australia’s trimmed mean inflation surge by 1.0% in Q3 2025 and the annual rate of inflation rise to 3.0%, has all but eliminated chances of another interest rate cut over the foreseeable future. As illustrated below by CBA, financial markets now ascribe a near-zero chance of another rate The post Inflation shock knocks wind out of auction market appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Sunday, November 2, 2025 - 10:52
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By Lucinda Jerogin, Associate Economist at CBA: The September quarter headline CPI materially surprised to the upside, jumping 1.3%/qtr to be 3.2% higher annually. The policy-relevant trimmed mean measure accelerated to 1.0%/qtr and 3.0%/yr. Offshore this week the FOMC and BoC cut rates by 25bp, as was widely expected. However, a more hawkish tone curtailed The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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THE BLOT REPORT
Saturday, November 1, 2025 - 15:54
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The Boyer Lectures are a series of talks by prominent Australians, presenting ideas on major social, scientific or cultural issues, and broadcast on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation’s (ABC) Radio National. The lectures began in 1959 and a couple of years later were named after Richard Boyer, the ABC board chairman who suggested them. The lectures are delivered between September and December by prominent Australians selected by the ABC board and are intended to stimulate discussion and debate on a wide range of topics1. |
MacroBusiness
Saturday, November 1, 2025 - 00:05
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International Reading: Chipotle CEO sounds alarm on the American economy – Yahoo USDA Quietly Deletes Its Contingency Plan for Funding SNAP – Notus Binance helped Trump crypto company make billions – Independent Not a good sign: Hershey Warns of Soft Halloween Candy Sales – Bloomberg Trump Ballroom Fiasco Takes Worse Turn as Economic Data Gets The post Weekend reading and MB media appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Friday, October 31, 2025 - 16:30
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Asian markets are generally lower although the latest Tokyo inflation numbers saw Japanese stocks rise swiftly with another BOJ rate hike now on the cards while the outcome of the Trump-Xi summit is not inspiring confidence in other risk markets. In currency land, the USD is getting stronger again with the Australian dollar pulled back The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, October 31, 2025 - 14:58
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Renew Economy
Friday, October 31, 2025 - 14:35
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Renew Economy
Friday, October 31, 2025 - 14:34
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Renew Economy
Friday, October 31, 2025 - 14:25
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MacroBusiness
Friday, October 31, 2025 - 13:30
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Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro published the following chart comparing the official cash rates of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) against the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Fabo stated on Twitter (X) that “the RBNZ often goes harder in both directions on rates”, in reference to its recent higher peak and lower trough The post Reserve Bank vs Reserve Bank on interest rates appeared first on MacroBusiness. |












