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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:30
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The ferrous jaws must close. CIAS output for the last ten days of October crashed 9.8% with steel profitability. CISA steel inventories fell even faster, down 11.8% to 14.63mt. Yet steel could still not get a bid. The MacroMicro series, the source of which is not disclosed, rose in the past week. MySteel data for The post Iron ore at the cliff’s edge appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:00
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Weak job market signals kicked the DXY rally in the teeth. AUD fell anyway on growth worries. CNY up. Gold is trying to base. AI metals were mixed. Miners popped. EM too. Junk is holding. Bonds rallied after dodgy US jobs data. Stocks are blowing the froth off. Adding to a potential reversal in The post Australian dollar rocket refuses to launch appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:30
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The Australian right is tearing itself apart over net zero. This is so foolish, and the answer is so simple. In fact, the party took the policy to the last election. The only reason this fight is still happening is that the energy transition is failing on affordability. This is giving climate and energy sceptics The post Gas cartel delivers Labor permanent power appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:00
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Overnight saw the fear around the AI bubble rise again as Wall Street cratered, but also some reality crept in as private job data indicated more job cuts than growth in the US economy as the bite from the government shutdown continues to be felt. Meanwhile the Bank of England held fire in its latest The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 00:05
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One month ago, I argued that the Australian Treasury’s modelling of Labor’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers was proof that Treasury had become a propaganda arm of the federal government. Under Labor’s First Home Guarantee scheme, which came into effect at the beginning of October, virtually all first home buyers can purchase a The post RBA skewers Treasury housing propaganda appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 16:30
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Asian equities are doing well as markets start to price the possibility that the US tariffs maybe reversed following initial comments from the US Supreme Court challenge, although that institution is as compromised as Congress so don’t hold your breath. Only local stocks failed to perform well with the USD still firm against most of The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:43
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Renew Economy
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:40
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Renew Economy
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:30
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:00
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The New Zealand economy continues to push through its housing bust and economic downturn. Yesterday, unemployment came in at 5.3% for the September quarter. The participation rate continues to fall to 70.3% as jobs become more scarce, holding down the headline unemployment rate. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the underutilisation rate |
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Renew Economy
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:43
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Renew Economy
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:35
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:30
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A new study, entitled “Perverse policy incentives and inferior economic outcomes” has exposed the failings of Australia’s migration system, particularly the student visa system. The study’s abstract is presented below: Between 1999 and 2012, Australia enacted a raft of policies that advantaged overseas students when applying for permanent residency, through the so-called 880 visa series. These policies |
Expensive and high risk: Queensland LNP’s coal-keeper policy will cost consumers a bomb, critics say |
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Renew Economy
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:03
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:00
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The Market Ear on a market trying to find sanity. Muted fear The sell-off has stretched across several sessions, yet volatilities have remained orderly, a stark contrast to October’s sharp spike. The VIX reaction so far is muted, a “fearless” unwind where complacency lingers and volatility still refuses to show up. With little fear The The post Stocks try to find sanity appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:57
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:30
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For a long time, I have bewailed the rise of fake left and its obsession with culture war issues like genitals, Palestine and racism. The substitution of this grab bag of identity politics for issues of class has led directly to the rise of the populist right in the shape of Donald Trump as American The post Trump births American real left appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:05
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ANZ has a few nice charts showing how labour costs have nothing to do with the recent inflation pop. The Q3 trimmed mean inflation print is likely to have been a ‘one-off’. Several factors point to that conclusion, including business survey price and cost measures, the tendency for Q3 inflation prints in recent years to The post RBA panic merchant to cut deeper appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:00
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In this week’s podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, examines the political storm hitting the healthcare sector — how comments and policy risks from Trump and RFK Jr. are weighing on valuations, whether today’s beaten-down prices could present a long-term buying opportunity, or if lasting damage to the sector’s economics and social licence The post MB Fund Podcast: Vaccinate or Evacuate? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 11:30
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In 2023, the Victorian government committed to delivering 80,000 new homes annually for the next decade, with a target of 2 million by 2051. To achieve its target, the government has implemented an authoritarian plan to seize control of planning from local governments and create 50 activity zones designated for high-density apartments. The government last week |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 11:00
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Earlier this month, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese was interviewed by The Australian, during which he was questioned about his plan for “Universal Childcare”. Albanese confirmed that this would be a major focus of the government for 2025 but remained guarded on exactly what that might look like in reality. “We’ll worry about that next year,” The post ‘Universal Childcare’ risks becoming NDIS 2.0 appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 10:30
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Steel is in freefall again. This does not include yesterday, when rebar fell another 1.4% and HRC 1.2%. The ferrous jaws must close. Simandou is getting coverage everywhere now. Some nice images here from Bloomberg. But the AFR has a much better piece with some great detail. …most analysts are sceptical about the potential for The post Bottom falls out of iron ore market appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 10:00
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DXY is breaking out still. AUD rebounded in its fading trend. CNY meh. Gold trying to hold. AI metals a better day. The chosen one bounced. EM too. Junk held. But there’s trouble in them thar yields. Stocks rose anyway. I remain cautious on the crap complex—commodities, EM, AUD—while the bond backup and rising DXY The post UBS thumps AUD table. Hurts fist appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 09:30
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Exclusively from Gerard Minack. Australia remains stuck in a macro rut as anaemic investment spending is stretched by a fast growing population. The result is sluggish capital-to-labour growth and – remarkably – falling labour productivity. The implication is that real wages cannot rise without creating inflation pressures. Macro stagnation has gone together with falling corporate |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 09:00
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Risk markets were in buy the dip mode overnight as Wall Street rebounded after speculation that tariff relief maybe around the corner alongside better than expected US economic data. European stocks also came back slightly while a build up in US domestic supplies saw oil prices pushed back to weekly lows. The USD had small The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 00:05
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Cotality’s house price results for October noted that values are growing more strongly at the lower-to-middle end of the market. Across the combined capital cities, dwelling values in October rose by 1.4% across the middle market and by 1.2% across the lower quartile, while the upper quartile values increased by only 0.7% over the month. The post Property investors front-run first home buyers appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 22:22
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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 17:48
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Cheeseburger Gothic
Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 17:29
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It’s been maybe twenty years since I last had one — before the kids went to school, I think. And I don’t know that we used it much, because we already had plenty of books at home. It just seemed like a good idea at the time. Eventually, I realised I hadn’t used it for a couple of years, didn’t know where the physical card was, and didn’t think about it again for a couple of decades. |







