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MacroBusiness Monday, May 19, 2025 - 08:00 Source

According to Cotality (formerly CoreLogic), Australian rental affordability has never been worse, with tenants required to sacrifice a record share of their income to rent the median home. This decline in affordability follows a circa 50% increase in asking rents since the pandemic. Last week, leading apartment developer Tim Gurner warned that Australia’s rental crisis

The post Australia’s rental crisis is permanent appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, May 19, 2025 - 07:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, May 19, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The construction sector has experienced the nation’s highest rate of insolvencies, with 2,795 firms failing this financial year, up 24% on 2024. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, construction sector insolvencies are tracking at around double the pre-pandemic norm: Mirvac CEO Campbell Hanan warned that the failure of around 7,000 builders and

The post High costs bleed Aussie home builders appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, May 19, 2025 - 00:03 Source

DXY continues its rebound as the world restocks US assets. AUD is holding support. Lead boots too. Gold look very shaky. Thankfully, so does oil. Metals are nervous about growth. Miners meh. EM is shit. But non-China EM is worth a look. Junk’s got some spunk. Yields are a pest. Any higher and the rally

The post Australian dollar the world’s most hated currency appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Sunday, May 18, 2025 - 13:29 Source

There’s been a lot of discussion in the last few days about the merit of Australia’s electoral system. In response to some conservative attacks on our preferential system, sometimes implicitly or explicitly suggesting a first-past-the-post system would be somehow more legitimate.

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Renew Economy Sunday, May 18, 2025 - 11:00 Source
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Club Troppo Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 18:16 Source

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Renew Economy Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 11:42 Source
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Renew Economy Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 09:27 Source
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MacroBusiness Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 00:15 Source

The latest data suggests that momentum in the housing market has softened as buyers await further interest rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). This week’s mortgage finance data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that the value of new housing lending declined by 1.6% in the March quarter, taking the annual

The post Bulls circle Australian property appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 00:05 Source

International Reading: DOGE worker admits the government works fine and was hoping for more easy wins. – Futurism What has Elon Musk’s Doge actually achieved? – FT Mike Johnson Argues Congress Needs Stock Trading to ‘Support Their Families’ Due to ‘Frozen’ Salaries – Latin Times GOP civil war breaks out over Medicaid as right calls

The post Weekend reading and media releases appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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George Monbiot Friday, May 16, 2025 - 22:46 Source

Keir Starmer’s attack on our planning system is an almost-perfect repeat of Boris Johnson’s disaster. Why can’t he see that?

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 15th May 2025

The precedent is uncanny, and the failure to learn from it downright mystifying. Keir Starmer is rushing gladly towards the catastrophe Boris Johnson inflicted on himself in 2020. Had he set out to stymie Labour’s chances of re-election, he couldn’t be doing it better.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 16:57 Source

AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225        

The post Macro Afternoon: 16 May 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:32 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:28 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:22 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:15 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 14:59 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Australia has too many cafes, and many will need to close down. According to IBIS World, over 27,000 cafes and coffee shops operate in Australia. Competition is fierce, with multiple cafes often operating at the same locations. And there isn’t enough consumer demand to sustain them. Australian households are caught in a cost-of-living crisis. Real

The post Australians say ‘no’ to $6 coffees appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 13:26 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 13:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Much ado about nothing in iron ore. Some good charts from ANZ. Property steel is still falling. I expect it to fall much more than they do this year. Non-property demand is going nowhere in volume terms. Exports are at risk. The market is supported somewhat by a weak CNY restock. 90-100 per tonne probably

The post Much ado about nothing in iron ore. appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 12:34 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Now this is some good news on gas for once. The planned LNG import terminal at Port Kembla, backed by billionaire Andrew Forrest’s Squadron, will not be ready to receive gas until at least mid-2027, delaying a key project intended to safeguard Australia’s east coast energy supply. Rob Wheals, the chief executive of Squadron Energy,

The post Gasmageddon plant idled in Egypt appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Exorbitant land costs are the fundamental driver behind Australia’s expensive housing. During 2023-24, the residential land values that underpin the housing market grew by 8.8%, reaching a valuation of $7.7 trillion. Over the 35 years to 2023–24, residential land values skyrocketed from 1.1 to 2.9 times Australia’s GDP. In contrast, aggregate structure values only increased

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Renew Economy Friday, May 16, 2025 - 11:35 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 11:30 Source

More pain from The Market Ear. After the China/US trade talks JPM’s great derivatives team dives in: “The China-US trade talks in Geneva have been more positive than anticipated and have resulted in a normalization of the volatility spread between the S&P 500 and European indices. We recommend buying SPX short-dated calls, fully funded by selling

The post The pain trade turns agony appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 11:00 Source

New Zealand experienced one of the world’s biggest house price booms over the pandemic, with prices soaring by around 30%. As a result, the 2022 Demographia Housing Affordability Survey ranked New Zealand as having one of the world’s most expensive housing markets, with a median multiple of 11.2 in 2021. New Zealand’s market has since

The post New Zealand’s ‘wonderful’ house price crash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 16, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY is taking a breather. That could not help the AUD. No lead boots. Gold up. Metals down. Big miners still look fugly. EM stocks hit resistance. Junk says no problemo. Yields eased. Stocks mixed. TS Lombard sounds about right today. The US-China truce removes major USD downside risk. The significant de-escalation in trade tensions

The post Australian dollar slip sliding away appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, May 16, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Turning in other directions can be accomplished by using a magnetized centerboard and ocean currents, since a current flowing through a magnetic field induces a Laplace force.

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