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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Melbourne has been the worst-performing housing market among major capital cities since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Between March 2020 and April 2025, Melbourne dwelling values rose by 16.2%, versus 43.3% growth at the combined capital city level. The underperformance of Melbourne’s housing market has seen its median house price fall to cyclical lows

The post Melbourne house prices poised for strong rebound appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Global bond yield suppression has been a constantly favourable backdrop for equity investors since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Every attempt to withdraw support has led to the financial markets convulsing until policy makers are forced to U-turn. So what should we make of recent tumultuous events in Japan? I have always exhorted clients to

The post Albert Edwards: Japan is about to blow up the world appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the Q1 2025 wage price index, which revealed that Australian real wages were tracking at Q4 2011 levels, 6.1% below their Q2 2020 peak: The OECD also released data showing that Australian real per capita household disposable income was tracking 7.6% below its Q1 2022 peak

The post Australia’s long, painful income recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Market Ear on a fear that has no modern precedent. When does it start to hurt? GS on the rates rise: 1. Watch 10yr @ 5%: That’s the psychological level where most expect yields to start weighing on equities. 2. But it’s the speed, not just the level: A move above 4.7% before end-May

The post Is the era of stocks over? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Australian Automobile Association has published the Electric Vehicle Index for Q1 2025. The data paints a picture of an industry struggling to gain a foothold, despite generous subsidies and incentives from the federal government (read taxpayers). In Q1 2025, only 17,914 battery electric vehicles (BEVs) were sold in Australia, down 29.9% from 25,552 in

The post EV sales would collapse without subsidies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:48 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:30 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Last week, Cotality (formerly CoreLogic) released data showing that a record 64.4% of homes in Sydney were valued at $1 million or above. This compares to 41.6% of homes valued above $1 million across the combined capital cities. According to SQM Research, Sydney’s median asking price for houses hit $2,040,000 in May, an increase of

The post Sydney challenges for world’s most expensive housing market appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:30 Source

For today’s post I am looking at how the Muslim vote changed, using some techniques I’ve previously used to look at voters of Chinese and Indian ancestry in past votes.

At this election we have seen a lot of speculation about Muslim voters switching from Labor, voting for Muslim independents, but also possibly for the Greens, with the war in Gaza being a major influence on that trend. We have seen Muslim groups cease to invite major party politicians to Islamic events that they would have previously attended regularly.

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Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:04 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:00 Source

DXY held on last night. AUD the reverse. Still trending higher. Lead boots going nowhere. OIl and gold sank. Metals no byueno. Junk worried. Yild relief. Yield relief. Could not save stocks. It’s a day-by-day proposition right now, but I think TS Lombrd probably has the trend right. America is not about to lose its

The post Australian dollar to surpass 70 cents appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:00 Source

A 5% efficiency gain at the cost of a 99% efficiency loss

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Risk markets were relatively sanguine overnight as the Trump regime’s new “Tax” Deal (aka blowing out the deficit forever) passed while the latest flash PMIs suggested a slight uptick in confidence in the US despite the tariff chaos in the last month. Wall Street was up at one stage but managed to give back almost

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Canadian analyst Ben Rabidoux posted the below graphic on Twitter (X), asking whether Canada should place a country cap on its permanent residency intake: The graphic shows that India has dominated Canada’s permanent residency intake, with around 560,000 admissions between 2020 and 2024. Rabidoux added that Canada had more than 400,000 permanent and temporary arrivals

The post Should Australia cap migration by country? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 00:05 Source

In June 2024, AMP chief economist Shane Oliver presented the following chart estimating that Australia’s housing shortage was about to exceed 200,000 homes: Oliver explained via Twitter (X) that “underlying demographic demand (driven by strong population growth) continues to run well ahead of new housing supply (constrained by capacity and cost issues, etc.), and is

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Prosper Australia Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 16:39 Source
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Prosper Australia Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 16:39 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are mainly stepping back in response to the falls overnight on Wall Street but more so on the burgeoning bond troubles as the US fiscal position looks to go into permanent deficit decline with the imminent passing of the Trump regime’s “tax” aka wealth redistribution billr. In currency markets, the USD

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 15:01 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 14:53 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 14:38 Source

Banana Range and Dawson wind farm EDF

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 14:17 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 13:48 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Recent polling by SEC Newgate Australia suggested that Victorians do not consider the $200 billion Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) a high-priority project. The SRL is the state’s largest-ever infrastructure project. Yet, it was barely mentioned in Victorian Treasurer Jaclyn Symes budget speech on Tuesday. The only mention of the SRL was the following spin: “The

The post Victorian government spins Suburban Rail Loop lies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market on the return of bad. Pausing SPX reversed right on the huge 6k resistance. First bigger support at 5800. Note the slightly negative RSI divergence. Source: LSEG Workspace Risk love Global Equity Risk-Love jumps to the neutral zone from the Panic levels witnessed in April. BofA writes: “Washed-out sentiment, followed by marked improvement

The post The Liz Truss market returns appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Via S&P. A Trump dump we might call it. Nothing too serious yet, but it’s hardly an economy running on all cylinders. 

The post Aussie flash PMI into the bog appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 12:05 Source

Join us in this week’s investment podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, and Chief Economist, Leith van Onselen, discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate cut and explore its impact on residential housing and the broader economy. Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the content via Podcasts or our recorded Videos.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Here is the PC’s recipe to lift Aussie living standards. There is nothing, and I mean NOTHING, on that list to move the needle on productivity. It is all microeconomic waffle that is already underway or useless. Here’s what you do instead. Slash immigration to zero to force up wages, investment, and debottleneck infrastructure plus

The post Sack Danielle Wood to lift productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The financial destruction of the State of Victoria over the past decade is astonishing. In the Labor government’s first state budget in 2015, Victoria’s net debt was only $22.3 billion. It has since climbed to $155.5 billion and is projected over the budget forward estimates to hit $194 billion by 2028-29. Victorian net debt per

The post A decade of budget negligence appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 11:04 Source
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