The Australian economy narrowly exited a per capita recession in Q4 2024 after recording 0.1% growth. This followed 21 months of consecutive declines in per capita GDP. In a speech to be delivered in Queensland on Tuesday, Treasurer Jim Chalmers will reportedly reveal that Cyclone Alfred’s immediate impact on GDP is estimated to be $1.2
Australian universities long since stopped serving the public interest. They are now little more than visa factories for the disastrous immigration-led economic model and funnels of Chinese and other autocratic influence. Governments have been captured by the universities by becoming retirement homes with large sinecures for failed politicians. If we can’t cleanse the system ourselves
Sense never lasts long in the iron ore market. The market is still trading the long gone Pilbara cyclones. With China stocks down. Even though production is well and truly recovered. Apparent demand is a little better that 2024 for flat. And a little worse for long. Ahead are cuts, cuts, cuts! But the market
Deloitte Access Economics released its Budget Monitor, which estimates an underlying cash deficit of $26.1 billion in 2024-25, $0.8 billion above the expected outcome in the 2024-25 Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO). Larger underlying cash deficits are also forecast over the following three years. Net debt is also expected to increase to 19.6% of
Cheap energy is the life blood of any modern economy. Take it away and everything suffers. The Australian. Australian businesses have suffered the sharpest annual fall in gross operating margins in a quarter of a century due to inflation-driven costs, including a “staggering” 51 per cent spike in gas prices, putting at risk Jim Chalmers’
The pet shop has gone mad this weekend with all and sundry declaring ANZUS dead and Australia alone in the world. America may abandon NATO though I doubt that as well. It looks more to me like America wants Europe to pay its own way in its defence. There is no danger to America from
Goldman with the note. Our US economists recently revised their growth forecasts and are now below consensus for the first time in almost three years. At the same time, our European economists responded to the unprecedentedGerman spending plans by upgrading their Euro area growth forecasts despitethe looming tariff threats. As a result, we are also
While Wall Street rebounded on Friday night it was basically just a short covering exercise after falling for four weeks straight with expectations of higher volatility continuing this trading week amid the ongoing trade war and a very busy economic calendar, including the latest Fed meeting. European stocks got a breather as well but are
I reported last week how Australian households have endured the largest decline in real per capita disposable incomes on record after falling by around 8% from their mid-2022 peak. Australia’s decline in real per capita household disposable incomes has also been the largest in the OECD since the beginning of the pandemic. Analysis of the
Last year, former federal Treasury official Stephen Anthony warned that Victoria could require a federal “bailout” amid soaring state debt, which hit $27,729 per person in 2023-24. “Victoria is on a suicide mission to record borrowing, just as global interest rates are about to hit 5%”, Anthony warned. “Potholes can’t get filled, emergency departments can’t