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Articles from MacroBusiness

Trump’s America loses hope

September 19, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

For a long time, Middle America has found itself struggling at an aggregate level. While there have been some on-paper standouts when breaking down household outcome growth by geographical location, that has been balanced out by other locales seeing significantly weaker growth than the average. Today, the median American full-time male worker earns as much

Upside Panic – Market rips, shorts slayed, after Fed rate cut

September 19, 2025 - 08:30 -- Admin

From the Market Ear: Here we go Russell takes out massive resistance area. As we have been outlining over the past weeks, play possible upside break outs via cheap options plays. Relative king IWM/SPY ratio printing new recent highs… Upside panic Most shorted extending the break out move. This space is up some 12% since

Our Systems Work Exactly as Designed—Just Not For Us

September 19, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

Below is another excellent guest post from MB reader Erin Rolandsen, CEO of Angelassist: Cybernetics pioneer Stafford Beer once said: “The purpose of a system is what it does.” If that is true, what, then, do we make of Australia’s systems? Everywhere we look, the systems designed to solve problems instead perpetuate them. We have

Aussie rate cut hopes fade

September 18, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Belinda Allen, CBA’s Head of Australian Economics, believes that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will only cut the official cash rate (OCR) once more in November, given the recent stronger run of economic data. This would take the OCR to 3.35%, which is close to CBA’s estimate of neutral. Market pricing has also shifted

Chinese property sinks into bottomless abyss

September 18, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Iron is hovering in some restocking episode. Long steel products enjoyed a hoped-for infrastructure stimmies bounce. Flat keeps easing. CISA output rebounded in the first ten days of September. Mills are overproducing, with inventories up 5% in the period. More price falls ahead. Meanwhile, Chinese property will never bottom! Primary prices are down with too

Jobs data slams door on RBA rate cut

September 18, 2025 - 11:59 -- Admin

The only thing that may have prompted the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut rates at its next monetary policy meeting is a sharp deterioration in the labour market. Alas, Thursday’s official labour force survey for August from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) extinguished any hope of a rate cut, with the unemployment

Australia’s paralysed politics

September 18, 2025 - 11:45 -- Admin

As the rise of populist major party candidates and upstart political parties continues from London to Tokyo, many have been left wondering why Australia hasn’t seen the rise of a new third alternative. While Australia has the Greens and One Nation as third-party alternatives, they are hardly new additions to the nation’s political landscape. The

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