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Will the gas cartel create an Australian civil war?

August 14, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Thank god, other states are fighting off Victoria disease. A controversial plan to stave off looming east coast gas shortfalls by underwriting new LNG import terminals has been indefinitely delayed as interstate disagreements and a broader overhaul of the market could push back the need for overseas sources. The Victorian-led proposal, which has yet to

Unemployment falls in line with RBA

August 14, 2025 - 12:27 -- Admin

The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), released on Tuesday, forecast that the unemployment rate would decline back to 4.2% before rising gradually to 4.3% over the forward estimates. Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the July Labour Force survey, which posted a bounce back in

AI bubble to the moon!

August 14, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

The robots are all in on the AI bubble, but humans are not. The Market Ear. Much more room Equity allocation according to FMS has risen, but we are way below extreme levels. Source: BofA Still depressed Goldman’s equity sentiment indicator of positioning remains depressed. Source: GS Refusing Non dealers continue to refuse buying the

Can Labor survive continued inaction from Albo?

August 14, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

Last week, the ABC reported that within the Albanese government there were two very different approaches to the productivity round table scheduled for later this month. “One camp doubts that a cautious Albanese has much inclination to take on a controversial new policy—and questions whether “consensus” can be achieved with business and unions appearing poles

Iron ore bumps the upper limit

August 14, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

The ferrous complex continues on its merry seasonal way. We ought to be near some kind of top here. The price is high enough to draw Indian ore back into the seaborne market, which will immediately have to be pushed back out again once Simandou starts up in November. The seasonal patterns, which are very

Macro Morning

August 14, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

A staid night on the economic calendar with Wall Street closing at new record highs while European stocks played catchup as it seems the impact of US inflation is being discounted sharply by market players while the Fed continues to signal caution. The USD remains on the ropes against all the majors with Euro hitting

The extraordinary collapse of Australian real incomes

August 14, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

OECD data shows that Australia has experienced the largest decline in real per capita household disposable incomes in the developed world. The March quarter national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that annual real per capita household disposable income was tracking 8.2% below its Q2 2022 peak: Tuesday’s Statement of Monetary

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