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Australia is caught in a low-productivity trap

July 22, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

As shown by the following chart from Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, Australia’s recent productivity growth has been among the worst in the advanced world. Australia’s labour productivity (GDP per hour worked) has experienced virtually zero growth since 2016. Reasons for the productivity decline: I attribute Australia’s poor productivity performance to four main factors. 1)

Macro Afternoon

July 21, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Asian share markets are quite mixed in the first trading session of the week as concerns over the Trump regimes bullying of the EU in its “negotiations” over the looming August 1st trade deal are spilling over. The USD is losing ground against all the major currency pairs as a result with Yen also gapping

The bubble inflates

July 21, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

The bubble is back. The Market Ear. Basically buying UBS sees CTAs doubling their equity exposure, adding $60-70bln over the next 2 weeks. They are basically buyers in all scenarios, unless SPX turns below 6k. Source: UBS Retail buying UBS on retail buying (proxied by ETF action): 1. Retail investors sold US stocks from mid-April

China defends economic doom model

July 21, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

China is not signalling imminent breakout stimulus. Bloomberg. China’s trade with the world is within reasonable bounds and the nation isn’t out to dominate global markets, a senior official said, pointing to figures showing domestic consumption is driving economic growth. “Most of China’s production is intended to meet domestic demand,” Vice Finance Minister Liao Min said in

Demographic change drives Aussie housing shortage

July 21, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The housing crisis persists in a significant portion of the nation, and neither the Albanese government nor state governments appear to be making the necessary policy changes to tackle the housing deficit effectively. According to figures from the Albanese government’s National Housing Supply and Affordability Council (NHSAC), the housing deficit is projected to increase annually

Recession smashes Aussie retailers

July 21, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

South African fashion retailer The Foschini Group has 563 stores across Australia, and its brands include Tarocash, Connor, and Johnny Bigg. Foschini’s financial accounts show that its Australian sales fell by nearly 3% to $745 million in the year to 31 March 2025. The company told investors and analysts that its Australian division is being

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