DXY is down, down. AUD is up, but it’s still a grind. Lead boots to the moon! Commods too. Big bear intact. EM launch! Junk vertical! Yields pounded! Stocks roar! So many exclamation marks in one post means it can only be dovish Fed. Jay Powell at the bottom of the Jackson Hole. Putting the
Risk markets loved Fed Chair Powell’s long awaited speech at the central back fest at Jackson Hole with a dovish tilt seemingly suggesting that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September, but only if inflation remains contained from the Trump regime’s tariffs. The hint gave Wall Street the signal to buy after five straight
Since U.S. President Donald Trump kicked off the current round of trade tensions with China back in April with the ‘Liberation Day’ announcement of widespread tariffs on Chinese-made goods, Beijing has responded by aggressively limiting the exports of vital rare earth minerals not only to the United States but also to the rest of the
Independent economist Chris Richardson published the following chart on Twitter (X) showing that Australia has experienced one of the poorest increases in living standards over the past decade among advanced OECD nations. “The good news is that Australia’s average has improved since my last update”, Richardson wrote. “The bad news is we still have a
By Lucinda Jerogin, Associate Economist at CBA It was a relatively quiet week locally. Consumer sentiment lifted to a 3½ year high, providing further evidence the household consumption recovery is gaining momentum. The Economic Reform Roundtable was held in Canberra from Tuesday to Thursday. Offshore, geopolitical events dominated headlines. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks tookcentre stage, but no
The latest Westpac consumer sentiment survey showed that Australians have become bullish on house prices. House price expectations hit a cyclical high, whereas the ‘time to buy a dwelling’ sub-index also shot higher. The improving sentiment has also been reflected in the auction market, where the national clearance rate has climbed to its highest level
In the wake of the Economic Reform Roundtable Gunnamatta and Deep T discuss the submission made by Deep T to the event. Recorded last weekend (prior to the meet) the discussion ranges over the financialisation of Australian housing, from the way rising prices of houses mean that the banking system doesnt need to raise
International Reading: Sony Hikes PlayStation 5 Price To Cover Tariffs And Gamers Are Furious: ‘Trump Is 100% To Blame’ – Fortune Texas hit by another round of layoffs across tech industry – Chron Americans can afford only 28% of homes on the market – News Week Elon Musk Just Won His War on Labor Unions
Asian share markets are generally doing better although local shares are falling back on probable profit taking as other risk markets sentiment remains neutral going into tonight’s Jackson Hole conference. The USD is pushing slightly higher against the majors with Euro breaking below the 1.16 handle while the Australian dollar remains very weak at its
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 25bp to 3.0%, a decision widely expected by economists and markets. This meant that the OCR has fallen by 2.5% from its 5.5% peak in mid-2024. The above OCR track published by the Reserve Bank is projected to end the year at