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Building housing in Australia is too expensive

September 12, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

I have consistently cautioned that the state and federal governments’ plans to blanket our cities with high-rise apartments will not improve housing affordability. The reason is simple: it is too expensive to construct apartments. As a result, they cannot be delivered at a reasonable cost to buyers. Urbis highlighted the excessive cost of apartment development,

Markets are all bull and no sentiment

September 12, 2025 - 08:30 -- Admin

From the Market Ear AAII bull – bear spread vs. SPX. All this bull… and we are still in neutral land. Chugging along Russell continues trading inside the perfect trend channel. We are printing new recent highs, and buying that 21 day moving average continues to be a simple but profitable strategy. Overboughter GDX has

Migration leading indicator surges higher

September 12, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

In February, on ABC’s Q&A, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese stated that the government was cutting immigration and relieving pressure on the housing market by reducing international student numbers. Albanese noted that the student visa system was being “abused”. This week, we learned that international student enrolments hit a record high of 839,200 in the year to

Australia’s housing bubble swallows economy

September 12, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) this week released data on Australia’s residential housing stock, which was valued at a record $11.6 trillion in the second quarter of 2025, equivalent to $1,017,000 per dwelling. The following chart compares the value of Australia’s dwelling stock to the country’s GDP. It shows that the entire residential housing

AI bubble builds

September 11, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

The Market Ear on this mightiest of bubbles. King AI “The 30 or so AI stocks in S&P 500 have a combined 43% of market cap. Even more compelling, these names have driven almost all of the returns and most of earnings growth since ChatGPT / Nov 2022”. Source: JPM Pulse on AI “…it couldn’t

Iron ore bulls appear

September 11, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

The ferrous complex is as crazy as usual. With blast furnaces resuming after the warmongering parade, we should expect HRC prices to keep falling with rebar. Steel mill margins are collapsing here, and iron ore is the culprit. Goldman has scuttlebutt. China lead has been increasingly irrelevant, lots of trips up there post results so

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