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MacroBusiness Monday, June 9, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The waste of space formerly known as the media had a good laugh at your expense over the weekend, that you can still afford or want to pay $7 for a coffee. SMH. Coffee roasters and baristas are the unsung heroes of Sydney hospitality. It takes a special person – part scientist, part artist, and

The post Heroes of $7 coffee appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 9, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Friday night saw the release of the latest US jobs print – the non-farm payrolls or NFP for May – which came in on expectations although revisions and internal numbers show building weakness from the start of the year. Wall Street didn’t care and bid across the board mainly due to relief that it wasn’t

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 9, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The Abanese government this week looked set to make some sensible policy compromises before performing a 180-degree turn and fumbling the ball. Gas Policy: The Rudd/Gillard Labor government in the early 2010s made the fateful decision to approve LNG exports out of Gladstone, QLD, without requiring gas producers to supply the domestic market first. This

The post Australians suffer policy whiplash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 9, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Albanese government has engaged in a full-court press of housing disinformation. Last week, Labor’s new Productivity Minister Andrew Leigh wrote the following spin in The AFR: “The federal government is doing our part. Through the National Housing Accord, we’re working with the states and territories to build 1.2 million homes over five years. We’ve

The post Australians are being lied to on housing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Sunday, June 8, 2025 - 16:12 Source

Picture this. Our world. This is the world that the average Australian lives in. They drive basic cars, they pay rates, registrations, and energy bills, they have kids at schools, and they generally spend disturbingly large chunks of their weekly incomes to service a mortgage or rent. Then they go to a grocery store and

The post The great housing gaslight appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Sunday, June 8, 2025 - 14:56 Source
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Club Troppo Sunday, June 8, 2025 - 14:50 Source

Ian Leslie has released what looks to be a fascinating book about the Beatles and more specifically the relationship between Lennon and McCartney. I thought that I too might as well get in on the act and talk about the Beatles story and why it is so remarkable, mysterious and compelling.

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MacroBusiness Sunday, June 8, 2025 - 09:35 Source

The past few months have seen Australia’s auction market roar back to life. Last week, the national final auction clearance rate recorded its highest level since July 2024, with just over 66% of homes taken to auction selling. The following chart clearly illustrates the bounce in clearance rates, with higher auction clearances typically leading to

The post Auction market crashes back to earth appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Sunday, June 8, 2025 - 09:33 Source

DXY held on Friday night. AUD could not break higher. Lead boots still plodding upwards. Gold sagged. Oil bounce looks technical to me. Metals no bueno. Big bear rolls on. EM maybe. Junk meh. Yields up. Stocks upper. The US jobs report was a Goldilocks scenario, so it did not change the trends. Total nonfarm

The post Australian dollar Goldilocks appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Sunday, June 8, 2025 - 08:44 Source

By Lucinda Jerogin, associate economist at CBA: Real GDP surprised to the downside at 0.2%/qtr. The annual rate held steady at 1.3%. The current account deficit narrowed to $14.7 bn in Q1 25, driven by a $2.2 bn fall in the net income deficit. Home prices across the eight capital cities rose by 0.5% in

The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Saturday, June 7, 2025 - 09:30 Source

While my focus has been very much on the federal election, events have been developing in Tasmania, which culminated in a vote of no confidence on Thursday.

The premier, Jeremy Rockliff, has plans to visit the Governor on Tuesday to ask for an early election. At the moment it doesn’t seem likely that anyone else could command the support of the House of Assembly, but it is possible the Governor may decide to not grant an election right away in the hope of finding a way to continue with a parliament that is not yet 15 months old.

If an early election is called, the earliest possible date is July 19.

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New Politics Saturday, June 7, 2025 - 08:00 Source

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MacroBusiness Saturday, June 7, 2025 - 00:10 Source

International Reading: ‘There’s no fraud’: Steve Bannon says Elon Musk’s DOGE cuts are a huge failure – Raw Story Trump calls for scrapping debt limit – The Hill Economists Raise Questions About Quality of U.S. Inflation Data – WSJ President Stagflation: US economic activity declines as tariffs pressure prices, Fed says – Yahoo House GOP

The post Weekend reading and media appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 20:46 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 16:00 Source

As the two most powerful but petulant men in the world stand off at 10 yards with handbags swinging, risk markets didn’t know quite to make out here in the Asian session today as the focus remains on the latest US jobs report tonight, with the initial jobless claims preview from last night not looking

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 15:33 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 15:33 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 14:38 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 14:33 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Following one of the largest booms in the developed world during the pandemic, New Zealand’s house prices experienced a significant decline. As illustrated above by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, New Zealand’s real inflation-adjusted house price has returned to its pre-pandemic level, according to the REINZ house price index. Separate data released this week by

The post New Zealand’s housing crash reignites appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Westpac states the obvious. Soft GDP data for Q1 has again raised questions of whether the RBA is behind the curve and has left policy too tight for too long. As we have been highlighting for some time, underlying growth in Australia remains weak and sensitive to pauses in the expansion in the care economy.

The post Lunatic RBA “too tight for too long” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market Ear on the nature of the rally. Range mania continues SPX remains stuck inside the 5800/6000 range (futures). Source: LSEG Workspace NASDAQ technicals Rising wedge like formation and the huge resistance area slightly higher. Source: LSEG Workspace Surprise, surprise The gap between SPX and Citi US economic surprises should make you a bit

The post Is it a bear market rally? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 12:54 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 12:30 Source

This week’s Q1 national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that real per capita household consumption has been negative for seven consecutive quarters on an annual basis, down 2.4% from its peak. The decline in household consumption came despite a rebound in real per capita household incomes, which jumped by 1.8%

The post Why have Australian households stopped spending? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 25 bp rate cut last month had an immediate effect on the housing market. The final auction clearance rate across the combined capital cities soared to its highest level since early July 2024, despite the second-highest auction volumes (2,918) of the year. According to Cotality, 66.2% of auctions resulted

The post Housing market launches after RBA rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 11:30 Source

I’ve long argued that water is the ‘elephant in the room’ of the immigration debate, something policymakers and pro-Big Australia supporters never acknowledge. A series of reports has warned that Australia faces chronic water shortages and rising water bills as its population grows by millions due to persistently high immigration volumes. For example, a 2021

The post Sydneysiders pay for endless immigration appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Victoria’s finances are in dire straits, carrying the nation’s highest debt and lowest credit rating. Victoria’s net debt was only $22.3 billion when the Labor government delivered its inaugural state budget in 2015. However, according to budget projections, net debt will reach $194 billion by 2028-29, up from $155.5 billion today. Victorian net debt per

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MacroBusiness Friday, June 6, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY is poised to go lower. AUD is counting down to lift off. CNY is a tailwind now. Oil and gold wait. Metals still no bueno. Big miners meh. EM warming to DXY. Junk meh. Yields rebounded. Stocks nervy into the NFP. A couple of previews. Goldman. While the employment component of the ISM services

The post Australian dollar counts down to lift off appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 10:27 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, June 6, 2025 - 10:27 Source
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