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Oz Blog News Commentary
Renew Economy Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 09:37 Source
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The Tally Room Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Now that we have the final booth results for the Tasmanian state election, I’ve decided to add another chapter to a series of blog posts analysing the geographic trends of individual candidates within each party within each electorate. You can read my blog posts about the 2021 election and the 2024 election here. I’ve also done similar analyses for ACT elections.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The Albanese government cannot be trusted on immigration. In 2023, former Home Affairs Minister turned Housing Minister Clare O’Neil delivered a keynote address to the AFR Workforce Summit, where she bemoaned the blowout in temporary migrants under the former Coalition government: Today, really for the first time in our modern history, our uncapped, unplanned temporary

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Risk markets moved on geopolitical and outright political shenigans overnight with Apple pushing the NASDAQ over 1% higher while possible good news over Ukraine – via the US bullying India into submission over its Russian oil purchases – and more speculation about changes at the US Federal Reserve kept the USD significantly weak. Only Yen

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 08:00 Source

DXY is dropping again. Sticking with the recent rally pattern, AUD is not rising as fast. Lead boots are stable. Gold is firm, oil weak. Metals tracked DXY. Big bear intact. EM rebound. Junk too. Yields firmed. BTFD! The AUD has resumed rising with broader risk. Or, should we say, resumed inflating with the broader

The post Australian dollar inflates with the bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 07:33 Source

Those with a regard for their welfare would do well not to get between ASIO chief, Mike Burgess, and a soapbox.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 06:34 Source

US President Donald Trump praised the outcome of a meeting between his Russia counterpart, Vladimir Putin, and US special envoy Steve Witkoff, calling it “very productive.”

Both sides will work on ending the Ukraine conflict “in the days and weeks to come,” the American leader wrote in a post on Truth Social on Wednesday.

According to Trump, “great progress”was achieved at the meeting in Moscow earlier in the day.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 04:54 Source

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 01:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 7, 2025 - 00:05 Source

On the 16th of June 2015, Donald Trump declared that he was going to run for the presidency of the United States. At the time, it was a source of jokes for late-night hosts and a target of ridicule by Democrats riding high following two consecutive strong presidential election victories for Barack Obama. For those

The post Trump’s appeal and the rise of political extremism appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 17:56 Source

‘Absolutely the best ship’: Japan wins $10bn contract to grow Australia’s war fleetThree Mogami-class frigates part of wider deal to replace ageing Anzac-class frigates and give navy a more lethal surface combatant fleet

Japan’s Mitsubishi Heavy Industries has beaten a German rival in the race to build Australia’s new fleet of warships, with the federal government expecting the first to be ready for service by 2030.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 16:00 Source

Green across the board for Asian stocks today despite the poor lead from Wall Street overnight, basically on speculation that the US Federal Reserve is likely to ease in September against dwindling domestic conditions in the US economy. The USD lost further ground against the majors particularly Kiwi but also the Australian dollar which has

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 15:42 Source

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 15:37 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 14:52 Source

“Hey, get down from there!” Quick, am I talking to a cat, a child, or the president of the United States? If you guessed the president, you’d be right. For some reason, Donald Trump got on the roof of the White House briefing room on Tuesday and just sort of ambled around for a bit while shouting to reporters down on the ground.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 14:38 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The Market Ear on the stock stall. SPX levels SPX is trading inside the trend channel that has been in place since late May. Short term support at 6300 (futures), which is the lower part of the channel. 50 day comes in around the 6200 area. Resistance: ATHs. Source: LSEG Workspace NASDAQ levels NASDAQ is

The post Stocks out of fuel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 13:48 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Statistics New Zealand on Tuesday released Q2 labour force data, which reported a decline in employment and a rise in both unemployment and underemployment. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, overall employment in New Zealand declined by 0.1% in Q2 and was 0.9% lower over the year. New Zealand’s unemployment rate rose

The post Reserve Bank to slash rates to ward off mass unemployment appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Productivity Commission is taking a rosy view of AI. AI will likely raise productivity, but there is ongoing debate about the magnitude of this effect. Studies suggest AI could increase multifactor factor productivity between 0.5% to 13% over the next decade (0.05 to 1.3 percentage points annually). After examining the assumptions underlying these studies,

The post AI will terminate Aussie youth job prospects appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 12:38 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI) released new car data for July, which reported the strongest monthly sales on record with a total of 103,097 vehicles delivered over the month. This was 3.6% higher than the same month last year. “We are now seeing confidence return to the market, supported by a recent interest

The post Australians want hybrid vehicles, not EVs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 12:13 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 12:07 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 12:00 Source

This is as predictable as it is awful to watch: Australia’s biggest corporate taxpayer, BHP, and the federal government’s productivity adviser are at loggerheads over a proposal to introduce a cash-flow tax on companies, undermining Jim Chalmers’ push to achieve consensus at his economic roundtable. Instead of tax, which will be the final topic discussed

The post Chicken Chalmers is the core productivity problem appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 11:30 Source

ANZ-Indeed jobs ads are interesting. The ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads series edged lower from a revised 116.3 in June to 115.2 in July. The series remains within a tight 114–117 range and has largely been tracking sideways since mid-2024. The June labour force survey revealed some signs of labour market easing, with the unemployment rate

The post Unemployed pile up as job ads stall appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Since the pandemic, Queensland has been a magnet for residents of southern states, including Victoria. Over the five years to Q4 2024, 163,200 residents from other states relocated to Queensland. Many of these residents came from Victoria, which lost 82,130 net residents over the same period. The spike in net interstate migration into Queensland, along

The post Queenslanders may start fleeing to Victoria appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Various narratives supporting and opposing the concept of working from home continue to propagate amidst the ongoing debate surrounding its benefits and politics. One of the most widely held ideas is that any job that can be done full-time, working from home, can also be done by a remote worker in another part of the

The post Is work from home the death of the bullshit job? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Ferrous is doing a merry dance as steel and iron ore trade places. One of the mysteries of this year’s ferrous markets has been why or how seaborne market production increases have been absorbed without too much price damage. The output increase has been relatively small so far, and the stock has been offset by

The post Iron ore takes out the trash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, August 6, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Chemistry grad students have been spotted trying to lure campus squirrels into laundry hampers in the hope that it sparks inspiration.

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