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Oz Blog News Commentary
Your Democracy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 07:22 Source

  

The way India manoeuvres reflects the key features of both the current global landscape and the ongoing process of its transformation. This process began almost immediately after the Cold War ended, but in recent years, it has accelerated at an unprecedented pace. In turn, the rapid transformation of the world order inevitably injects various factors of uncertainty into the political arena.

 

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 06:32 Source

DXY fell last night. AUD bounced but it’s not exactly tearing the roof off. Lead boots are stuck fast. Gold was disappointed. Base metals are king dollar playthings. Big miners are having another crack at the big bear. EM at the highs. Junk breaking out. Bullish. Yields muted after US CPI. Stocks certain of Fed

The post Australian dollar soars on Fed cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 05:55 Source

The Australian Jewish Association and its charity arm, the Australian Jewish Association Tzedakah Incorporated, are facing a landmark legal challenge after more than a year of alleged racial and religious vilification targeting Palestinians and Muslims.

 

Mohamed Ainullah

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Your Democracy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 04:44 Source

Ukraine is preparing a new provocation to disrupt negotiations between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his American counterpart Donald Trump in Alaska on Friday, according to the Russian Defense Ministry.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 04:22 Source

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has accused “local idiots” and “foreign agents” of stoking tensions between Poland and Ukraine, following the display of a flag used by Ukrainian Nazi collaborators who participated in the ethnic cleansing of Poles during World War II, at a rap concert in Warsaw.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Albanese government’s National Housing Accord target of building 1.2 million homes over five years was always a delusional pipe dream detached from reality. The record single year for Australian dwelling completions was around 223,500 in 2017, when the nation was building huge volumes of defective high-rise apartments. However, economic conditions were far more favourable

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Your Democracy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 18:44 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 16:00 Source

Asian share markets are seeing a strong bid led by Japanese markets as they return from their long weekend with traders all waiting in anticipation of tonight’s US CPI print that is now becoming as important as the jobs print on the economic calendar. Not much movement in currency-land with the RBA cutting rates 25bps

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 14:42 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 14:36 Source

As expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the official cash rate by 0.25% to 3.60%. The decision was unanimous among board members. In its media release accompanying its decision, the RBA noted that “inflation has continued to moderate”, down “substantially since the peak in 2022”. It also signalled further “gradual” rate cuts ahead.

The post RBA cuts by 0.25%, more rate relief to come appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 14:29 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 14:09 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Economist Ross Gittins from the SMH has pilloried the Productivity Commission’s (PC) proposal to cut Australia’s company tax rate to 20% for all but the largest 500 firms with annual turnovers of $1 billion, alongside introducing a 5% tax on the annual net cash flow of all companies. The two sets of general equilibrium models

The post Cutting company taxes is economic fools gold appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 13:57 Source

So, I always knew Dan Black was returning for this next AoT series. I didn’t realise until recently that Detective Lou “Buster” Cherry would be hitching a ride back with him.

But here we are.

Last time we saw Buster, in Designated Targets, things looked… less than awesome. My memory had him bleeding out on a beach in Hawaii after taking a bayonet. But when I went back to the original text, I realised we never actually saw him die. His last moment on the page was blowing the face off the guy stabbing him, which, in hindsight, is a pretty Buster way to leave things unresolved.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 13:56 Source

... "Moscow must remain vigilant, because in this type of bilateral summit, the readability of Washington’s strategic intentions remains, by nature, uncertain and subject to reversibility."

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The mind control underway in the Australian government today is something to behold. I have repeatedly drawn attention to the RBA’s systematic erasure of the word “immigration,” which has completely trashed its credibility because it can’t forecast anything accurately if it does not make reference to the number one input into Australian macro. Now, the

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 13:11 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market Ear on the great AI inflation. “Lagom” – not too hot, not too cold Here’s the must-see flow & positioning data from the weekend — a continuation of the “Lagom” theme: not too hot, not too cold. Continued hedge funds de-risking and strange record Russell shorts meets continued systematic and retail buying. De-grossed

The post AI bubble expands appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Bloomberg sees an endless Chinese property crash. Developer China South City Holdings Ltd. was ordered to liquidate by Hong Kong’s High Court, making it the biggest Chinese builder by assets to be wound up since China Evergrande Group. Always hopeful, Bloomberg also sees another bottom for Chinese property. Authorities are mulling more intervention. They have been considering

The post Chinese property crash is forever now appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 12:17 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 12:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Out of all nations on earth, Canada is arguably the most similar to Australia. Both nations are resource-rich, hosting relatively small populations on massive landmasses. The overwhelming majority of the population lives in small pockets where the weather is most favourable. The bulk of Australia’s population lives on the East Coast, whereas the bulk of

The post Canada’s economic collapse an omen for Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The ferrous complex continues typical seasonal trading. This is all rather silly. Bloomberg. Iron ore gained after a Chinese consultancy said several steel mills had been told by authorities they will need to temporarily halt production later this month due to air pollution concerns.\ I know the market likes to be contrarian, but steel cuts

The post Steel cuts do not lift iron ore demand appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 11:00 Source

In the world of United States economics, it has been said that “the construction cycle is the economic cycle”. Looking at the data, there is certainly a degree of truth to that, with the number of homes under construction peaking and then falling significantly prior to 4 of the last 6 non-pandemic-related recessions. Perhaps the

The post The construction cycle is the economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 10:30 Source

New Zealand’s economy continues to struggle. The nation’s labour market has seen unemployment and underutilisation rates soar to near-decade highs outside of the pandemic. New New Zealand has lost close to 40,000 jobs since late 2023, with younger workers bearing the brunt. Unofficial labour market indicators, including SEEK’s job ad and applications per job ad

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THE BLOT REPORT Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 10:03 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 10:00 Source

America is well prepared for the AI shock that is underway in its entry-level positions. It has sensibly reduced immigration to zero, ensuring that local youth are not competing with cheap foreign labour. Even so, there is increasing evidence that AI is moving faster than the economy can keep up. A few days ago, I

The post AI shock rips into American and Aussie youth appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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THE BLOT REPORT Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 09:51 Source

As anyone who reads my stuff knows, I have been kicked off Facebook permanently, and while initially confused as to why it happened, I came to the conclusion that it was because of my posts about the genocide under way in Gaza and the running of the community standards system by zionists1. At the time, I said I’d look around for alternatives. I have been on social media for a while with the longest time spent on Facebook, followed by Xitter (perhaps as long as 8 years for the latter), while I joined both Mastodon2  and Tribel3  in November 2022 as possible alternatives to then Twitter, which had been taken over by the idiot Elon Musk.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 09:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 12, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Melbourne’s housing market has experienced a long period of price stagnation compared with the other major capital cities. According to PropTrack, Melbourne’s median dwelling values rose by only 19.2% in the five years to July, compared with an average increase across the combined capital cities of 45.5%. Melbourne’s median dwelling value in July 2025 was

The post Bargain hunters circle Melbourne property appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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